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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.29+2.50vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.01+0.49vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota1.77-0.16vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago1.00-0.01vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.25-1.39vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.60-0.93vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin-0.21-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5University of Wisconsin1.290.2%1st Place
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2.49University of Minnesota2.010.3%1st Place
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2.84University of Minnesota1.770.2%1st Place
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3.99University of Chicago1.000.1%1st Place
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3.61Northwestern University1.250.1%1st Place
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6.07Marquette University-0.600.0%1st Place
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5.5University of Wisconsin-0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Tobias | 16.3% | 17.1% | 16.4% | 19.0% | 16.4% | 11.8% | 3.0% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 31.1% | 25.4% | 20.6% | 12.5% | 7.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Natalie Sinn | 24.5% | 21.6% | 21.2% | 16.6% | 11.3% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Zi Chong Kao | 10.8% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 18.8% | 23.9% | 16.3% | 4.3% |
| David Kluger | 12.3% | 17.2% | 18.2% | 19.2% | 19.4% | 9.6% | 4.1% |
| Philip Niles | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 23.1% | 54.8% |
| Jared Ottmann | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 32.8% | 32.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.