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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.01+1.50vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota1.77+0.79vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.25-0.40vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin-0.21+0.67vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.60+0.03vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.29-3.46vs Predicted
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8University of Chicago1.00-4.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5University of Minnesota2.010.3%1st Place
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2.79University of Minnesota1.770.2%1st Place
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3.6Northwestern University1.250.1%1st Place
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5.67University of Wisconsin-0.210.0%1st Place
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6.03Marquette University-0.600.0%1st Place
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3.54University of Wisconsin1.290.1%1st Place
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3.86University of Chicago1.000.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Oltrogge | 32.8% | 24.3% | 18.4% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Natalie Sinn | 22.9% | 24.0% | 23.0% | 15.8% | 10.1% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| David Kluger | 13.6% | 16.0% | 16.3% | 22.2% | 18.5% | 9.7% | 3.7% |
| Jared Ottmann | 1.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 33.8% | 35.2% |
| Philip Niles | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 24.6% | 53.1% |
| Eric Tobias | 14.7% | 15.4% | 20.1% | 17.1% | 18.6% | 11.5% | 2.6% |
| Zi Chong Kao | 12.6% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 19.3% | 23.0% | 13.9% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.