← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+7.11vs Predicted
-
2Tulane University2.02+4.49vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.30+0.52vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+2.98vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College2.75-0.82vs Predicted
-
6University of Wisconsin0.70+5.39vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56+4.77vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+0.47vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University2.20-3.03vs Predicted
-
10North Carolina State University1.26-0.68vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida1.09-1.59vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University0.95-1.09vs Predicted
-
13Boston College2.09-6.32vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University0.49-2.17vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-2.62vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont-0.13-2.66vs Predicted
-
17Christopher Newport University-0.84-4.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.034.5%1st Place
-
6.49Tulane University2.028.2%1st Place
-
3.52Stanford University3.3021.6%1st Place
-
6.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.776.8%1st Place
-
4.18Dartmouth College2.7519.1%1st Place
-
11.39University of Wisconsin0.701.9%1st Place
-
11.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.561.8%1st Place
-
8.47St. Mary's College of Maryland1.764.9%1st Place
-
5.97Georgetown University2.2010.0%1st Place
-
9.32North Carolina State University1.263.6%1st Place
-
9.41University of South Florida1.092.7%1st Place
-
10.91Old Dominion University0.951.8%1st Place
-
6.68Boston College2.096.7%1st Place
-
11.83Roger Williams University0.491.8%1st Place
-
12.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.291.6%1st Place
-
13.34University of Vermont-0.131.6%1st Place
-
12.25Christopher Newport University-0.841.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Bornarth | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Samantha Gardner | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 21.6% | 20.8% | 16.6% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 19.1% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 7.8% |
| Brook Wood | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 11.2% |
| Madison Bashaw | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Piper Holthus | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 5.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 10.9% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 17.0% |
| Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 28.0% |
| Laura Smith | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.