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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.29+2.51vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota1.77+0.82vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota2.01-1.51vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.60+1.08vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago1.00-1.99vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University1.25-3.40vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin-0.21-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51University of Wisconsin1.290.2%1st Place
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2.82University of Minnesota1.770.2%1st Place
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2.49University of Minnesota2.010.3%1st Place
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6.08Marquette University-0.600.0%1st Place
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4.01University of Chicago1.000.1%1st Place
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3.6Northwestern University1.250.1%1st Place
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5.5University of Wisconsin-0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Tobias | 16.2% | 15.3% | 17.6% | 20.3% | 17.2% | 9.9% | 3.5% |
| Natalie Sinn | 24.3% | 22.8% | 22.2% | 14.8% | 10.2% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Emily Oltrogge | 31.1% | 26.9% | 17.9% | 13.3% | 7.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Philip Niles | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 24.2% | 54.2% |
| Zi Chong Kao | 9.4% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 18.8% | 24.8% | 14.6% | 5.1% |
| David Kluger | 14.0% | 15.8% | 17.8% | 18.7% | 19.5% | 11.2% | 3.0% |
| Jared Ottmann | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 32.9% | 32.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.