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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.96+1.69vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin-0.67+4.23vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota2.15-0.46vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago0.57+0.57vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota2.53-2.88vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University0.28-2.08vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.22-2.35vs Predicted
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9University of Iowa-1.69-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69University of Wisconsin1.960.2%1st Place
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6.23University of Wisconsin-0.670.0%1st Place
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2.54University of Minnesota2.150.3%1st Place
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4.57University of Chicago0.570.0%1st Place
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2.12University of Minnesota2.530.4%1st Place
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4.92Northern Michigan University0.280.0%1st Place
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5.65Northwestern University-0.220.0%1st Place
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7.28University of Iowa-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Murphy | 21.8% | 26.3% | 25.2% | 17.1% | 7.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Faust | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 11.4% | 20.3% | 32.8% | 21.5% |
| Jessie Olson | 25.9% | 25.8% | 26.9% | 13.7% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Kang | 4.6% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 21.1% | 25.2% | 19.1% | 9.8% | 1.2% |
| Drake Lundeen | 38.6% | 29.5% | 18.2% | 10.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Kratz | 4.3% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 17.5% | 26.6% | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.3% |
| C Jones | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 11.4% | 17.8% | 24.7% | 25.8% | 9.9% |
| Dillan Newbold | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 9.3% | 17.7% | 64.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.