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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.97+5.08vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+8.38vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.09+5.26vs Predicted
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4Tulane University1.73+3.21vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.86+1.89vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+0.82vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+3.63vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.40-2.10vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.64-4.24vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61+0.67vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.54-2.48vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University0.68-1.02vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.65-1.83vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin0.36-2.28vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College1.60-7.35vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.48-4.20vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.08Roger Williams University1.9710.1%1st Place
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10.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.6%1st Place
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8.26North Carolina State University1.095.5%1st Place
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7.21Tulane University1.737.6%1st Place
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6.89Georgetown University1.868.5%1st Place
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6.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.6%1st Place
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10.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.913.1%1st Place
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5.9Boston College2.4011.1%1st Place
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4.76Stanford University2.6417.1%1st Place
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10.67St. Mary's College of Maryland0.613.1%1st Place
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8.52University of South Florida1.545.4%1st Place
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10.98Old Dominion University0.682.7%1st Place
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11.17Christopher Newport University0.652.8%1st Place
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11.72University of Wisconsin0.361.8%1st Place
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7.65Dartmouth College1.606.7%1st Place
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11.8University of Vermont0.482.1%1st Place
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13.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Kelly Bates | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Freeman | 17.1% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lily Flack | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% |
| Eden Nykamp | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Megan Geith | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.2% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 15.5% | 12.3% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 13.1% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.