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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.53+1.10vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota2.15+0.46vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.96-0.29vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago0.57-0.41vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.22-0.45vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University0.28-2.05vs Predicted
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8University of Iowa-0.38-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1University of Minnesota2.530.4%1st Place
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2.46University of Minnesota2.150.3%1st Place
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2.71University of Wisconsin1.960.2%1st Place
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4.59University of Chicago0.570.0%1st Place
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5.55Northwestern University-0.220.0%1st Place
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4.95Northern Michigan University0.280.0%1st Place
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5.64University of Iowa-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Lundeen | 39.7% | 29.1% | 17.5% | 9.6% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jessie Olson | 27.3% | 26.3% | 27.7% | 12.3% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Murphy | 20.9% | 27.2% | 25.7% | 15.8% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Michael Kang | 4.1% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 21.7% | 25.5% | 20.8% | 9.7% |
| C Jones | 2.1% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 10.5% | 20.0% | 24.8% | 34.3% |
| Hannah Kratz | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 20.9% | 22.7% | 22.8% | 18.0% |
| Paul Vatterott | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 16.4% | 26.5% | 37.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.