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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+9.30vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.64+2.96vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.40+2.92vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.65+7.47vs Predicted
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5Tulane University1.73+2.57vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+4.85vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.87-0.63vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.97-1.75vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61+1.74vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.48+1.77vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.09-2.48vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-5.00vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.54-4.20vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University1.86-6.98vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.36-3.22vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-2.50vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University0.97-6.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.7%1st Place
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4.96Stanford University2.6413.6%1st Place
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5.92Boston College2.4012.0%1st Place
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11.47Christopher Newport University0.651.9%1st Place
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7.57Tulane University1.737.6%1st Place
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10.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.913.2%1st Place
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6.37Dartmouth College1.879.6%1st Place
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6.25Roger Williams University1.9710.8%1st Place
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10.74St. Mary's College of Maryland0.612.9%1st Place
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11.77University of Vermont0.482.2%1st Place
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8.52North Carolina State University1.095.3%1st Place
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7.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.3%1st Place
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8.8University of South Florida1.544.1%1st Place
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7.02Georgetown University1.867.8%1st Place
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11.78University of Wisconsin0.362.1%1st Place
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13.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.4%1st Place
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10.19Old Dominion University0.973.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Conneely | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 5.4% |
| Hannah Freeman | 13.6% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 12.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.6% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.6% |
| Gray Hemans | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lily Flack | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 6.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 14.6% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Eden Nykamp | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Kelly Bates | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 13.6% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 33.6% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.