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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota2.53+1.09vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.96+0.73vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago0.57+0.52vs Predicted
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5Northern Michigan University0.28-0.03vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.22-0.44vs Predicted
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7University of Iowa-0.38-1.30vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota2.15-5.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.09University of Minnesota2.530.4%1st Place
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2.73University of Wisconsin1.960.2%1st Place
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4.52University of Chicago0.570.1%1st Place
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4.97Northern Michigan University0.280.0%1st Place
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5.56Northwestern University-0.220.0%1st Place
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5.7University of Iowa-0.380.0%1st Place
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2.43University of Minnesota2.150.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Lundeen | 39.6% | 28.5% | 19.3% | 9.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Murphy | 19.3% | 26.6% | 29.1% | 14.9% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Michael Kang | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 24.5% | 24.9% | 19.7% | 9.1% |
| Hannah Kratz | 2.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 16.8% | 24.6% | 24.4% | 17.3% |
| C Jones | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 11.5% | 18.1% | 26.1% | 34.3% |
| Paul Vatterott | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 11.0% | 16.4% | 25.8% | 38.7% |
| Jessie Olson | 29.1% | 26.5% | 25.2% | 12.0% | 6.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.