← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61+9.59vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University0.97+7.93vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+7.37vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+2.91vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University1.09+3.49vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+4.78vs Predicted
-
7University of Wisconsin0.36+4.68vs Predicted
-
8Boston College2.40-1.92vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida1.54-0.21vs Predicted
-
10Georgetown University1.86-2.87vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University1.97-4.76vs Predicted
-
12Dartmouth College1.87-5.35vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont0.48-1.19vs Predicted
-
14Tulane University1.73-6.39vs Predicted
-
15Stanford University2.64-10.08vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-2.36vs Predicted
-
17Christopher Newport University0.65-5.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.59St. Mary's College of Maryland0.612.9%1st Place
-
9.93Old Dominion University0.974.8%1st Place
-
10.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.2%1st Place
-
6.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.4%1st Place
-
8.49North Carolina State University1.095.1%1st Place
-
10.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.913.2%1st Place
-
11.68University of Wisconsin0.362.1%1st Place
-
6.08Boston College2.4011.0%1st Place
-
8.79University of South Florida1.545.0%1st Place
-
7.13Georgetown University1.867.8%1st Place
-
6.24Roger Williams University1.9710.4%1st Place
-
6.65Dartmouth College1.878.6%1st Place
-
11.81University of Vermont0.482.2%1st Place
-
7.61Tulane University1.737.5%1st Place
-
4.92Stanford University2.6414.8%1st Place
-
13.64U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.4%1st Place
-
11.38Christopher Newport University0.652.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lily Flack | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 4.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 6.7% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 13.2% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 14.0% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Freeman | 14.8% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 15.4% | 32.8% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.