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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University0.97+9.15vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.09+6.54vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.64+1.92vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+3.04vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.60+2.82vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.73+1.55vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.87-0.46vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.48+3.83vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.40-2.88vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.97-3.63vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-0.54vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-1.30vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.36-1.07vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.65-2.49vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-4.29vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University1.86-8.86vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-3.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.15Old Dominion University0.972.9%1st Place
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8.54North Carolina State University1.095.3%1st Place
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4.92Stanford University2.6413.8%1st Place
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7.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.3%1st Place
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7.82University of South Florida1.607.1%1st Place
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7.55Tulane University1.737.3%1st Place
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6.54Dartmouth College1.8711.2%1st Place
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11.83University of Vermont0.482.5%1st Place
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6.12Boston College2.409.7%1st Place
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6.37Roger Williams University1.9710.2%1st Place
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10.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.9%1st Place
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10.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.913.4%1st Place
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11.93University of Wisconsin0.362.0%1st Place
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11.51Christopher Newport University0.652.1%1st Place
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10.71St. Mary's College of Maryland0.612.9%1st Place
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7.14Georgetown University1.867.5%1st Place
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13.67U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.100.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianna Dewey | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 4.0% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Hannah Freeman | 13.8% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Gray Hemans | 11.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 12.9% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Meagher | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 5.8% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 14.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.3% |
| Lily Flack | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% |
| Kelly Bates | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Mason | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.