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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College4.15+7.03vs Predicted
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2Tufts University4.08+6.40vs Predicted
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3Stanford University4.05+5.55vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University4.01+4.64vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin4.10+3.49vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College4.06+2.36vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.66+3.16vs Predicted
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8Washington College3.65+2.41vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.55+1.39vs Predicted
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10Harvard University4.36-3.02vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University4.74-5.31vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.64-1.35vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.07-0.55vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-1.14vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.56-4.55vs Predicted
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16Princeton University1.23+1.61vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-6.86vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-4.98vs Predicted
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19Yale University3.89-10.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.03SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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8.4Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.55Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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8.64Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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8.49University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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8.36Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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10.16U. S. Naval Academy3.660.0%1st Place
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10.41Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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10.39Connecticut College3.550.0%1st Place
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6.98Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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5.69Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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10.65College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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12.45Roger Williams University3.070.0%1st Place
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12.86St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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10.45Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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17.61Princeton University1.230.0%1st Place
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10.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.0%1st Place
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13.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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8.71Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Murray | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| William Haeger | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Kevin Laube | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Sam Williams | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Jason Carminati | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| IG Schottlaender | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Brendan Kopp | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Chris Barnard | 11.7% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 1.4% |
| George Saunders | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 4.8% |
| John Wallace | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 16.9% | 5.4% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 1.9% |
| Lindsay Eysenbach | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 71.3% |
| Louis Padnos | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Bates | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 16.4% | 6.6% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.