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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.38+2.68vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.93+3.89vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.57+2.76vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.45+1.67vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.95+1.99vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College0.85+0.99vs Predicted
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7Wake Forest University0.18+2.63vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.58-2.94vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina-0.92+3.76vs Predicted
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10Duke University-0.63+2.13vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.12-2.57vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-0.46+1.21vs Predicted
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13Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11+0.87vs Predicted
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14Florida State University0.37-5.15vs Predicted
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15The Citadel0.33-6.07vs Predicted
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16Auburn University-0.02-5.70vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.68College of Charleston2.3821.9%1st Place
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5.89University of Miami1.9311.5%1st Place
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5.76North Carolina State University1.579.8%1st Place
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5.67University of South Florida1.459.8%1st Place
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6.99Rollins College0.957.2%1st Place
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6.99Eckerd College0.856.8%1st Place
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9.63Wake Forest University0.182.9%1st Place
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5.06Jacksonville University1.5812.6%1st Place
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12.76University of North Carolina-0.920.8%1st Place
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12.13Duke University-0.630.9%1st Place
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8.43Clemson University0.124.3%1st Place
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13.21University of Central Florida-0.461.1%1st Place
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13.87Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.110.5%1st Place
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8.85Florida State University0.373.6%1st Place
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8.93The Citadel0.333.6%1st Place
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10.3Auburn University-0.022.0%1st Place
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14.84University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.680.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 21.9% | 19.7% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ruth Palmer | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Cole Schweda | 12.6% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Gumny | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 10.9% |
| Zhaohui Harry Ding | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 6.6% |
| Ashton Loring | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Julian Larsen | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 16.1% | 17.8% | 14.7% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 16.2% | 22.1% | 21.9% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Henry Ryan | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Abbi Barnette | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 20.2% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.