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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College3.83+2.51vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.75+4.01vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.50+1.24vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.93+1.26vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-1.08vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.81-0.38vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin2.61-0.92vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.48-3.75vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.56-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51Eckerd College3.830.2%1st Place
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6.01Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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4.24Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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5.26University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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3.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.2%1st Place
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5.62Georgetown University2.810.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Wisconsin2.610.1%1st Place
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4.25Boston College3.480.2%1st Place
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6.12Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cara Vavolotis | 20.5% | 18.9% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Caroline Wilhelm | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 19.8% |
| Claire Dennis | 14.2% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 3.3% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 11.0% |
| Caroline Patten | 17.6% | 18.5% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Lauren Burke | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 15.0% |
| Christine Porter | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 15.1% | 17.3% | 19.9% |
| Briana Provancha | 15.2% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 4.2% |
| Katherine Doble | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 22.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.