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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.36+6.20vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.56+8.72vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.00+5.89vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.06+4.48vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.74+0.97vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College4.15+2.09vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University4.01+1.80vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+2.48vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.89+0.01vs Predicted
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10Tufts University4.08-1.69vs Predicted
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11Washington College3.65-0.77vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin4.10-3.37vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.66-2.96vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-1.03vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.55-4.41vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.07-3.38vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-3.87vs Predicted
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18Princeton University1.23-0.25vs Predicted
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19Stanford University4.05-10.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.2Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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10.72Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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8.89College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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8.48Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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5.97Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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8.09SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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8.8Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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10.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.0%1st Place
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9.01Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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8.31Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.23Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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8.63University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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10.04U. S. Naval Academy3.660.0%1st Place
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12.97St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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10.59Connecticut College3.550.0%1st Place
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12.62Roger Williams University3.070.0%1st Place
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13.13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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17.75Princeton University1.230.0%1st Place
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8.09Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Kopp | 6.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 1.6% |
| Samuel Stokes | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Sam Williams | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Chris Barnard | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Murray | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Louis Padnos | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| William Haeger | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Jason Carminati | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| John Wallace | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 6.0% |
| IG Schottlaender | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 1.3% |
| George Saunders | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 5.7% |
| Andrew Bates | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 16.1% | 8.1% |
| Lindsay Eysenbach | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 69.5% |
| Kevin Laube | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.