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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+3.83vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.86+5.07vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.73+4.67vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.40+2.00vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.60+2.85vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+4.69vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.48+5.02vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.65+3.50vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.09-0.59vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.97-3.68vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-3.85vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-1.52vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.97-3.09vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College1.87-7.29vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-4.33vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-2.28vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.36-4.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.83Stanford University2.6414.8%1st Place
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7.07Georgetown University1.868.0%1st Place
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7.67Tulane University1.737.6%1st Place
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6.0Boston College2.4010.5%1st Place
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7.85University of South Florida1.606.2%1st Place
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10.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.913.9%1st Place
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12.02University of Vermont0.482.2%1st Place
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11.5Christopher Newport University0.652.1%1st Place
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8.41North Carolina State University1.095.5%1st Place
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6.32Roger Williams University1.979.7%1st Place
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7.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.9%1st Place
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10.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.6%1st Place
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9.91Old Dominion University0.974.2%1st Place
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6.71Dartmouth College1.878.2%1st Place
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10.67St. Mary's College of Maryland0.612.6%1st Place
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13.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.100.9%1st Place
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12.03University of Wisconsin0.361.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 14.8% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 6.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 13.5% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 12.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Lucy Meagher | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 4.6% |
| Gianna Dewey | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Lily Flack | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 6.3% |
| Katherine Mason | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 34.4% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.