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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.87+5.61vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+8.55vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.73+4.55vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+3.01vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.65+6.40vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.60+2.05vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.40-1.08vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.64-3.23vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University1.86-1.78vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.48+2.02vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.09-2.64vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin0.36-0.05vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.97-2.95vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.97-7.85vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-4.14vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-2.16vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-6.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.61Dartmouth College1.878.4%1st Place
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10.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.9%1st Place
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7.55Tulane University1.737.5%1st Place
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7.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.7%1st Place
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11.4Christopher Newport University0.652.6%1st Place
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8.05University of South Florida1.606.2%1st Place
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5.92Boston College2.4011.8%1st Place
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4.77Stanford University2.6416.0%1st Place
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7.22Georgetown University1.867.2%1st Place
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12.02University of Vermont0.481.7%1st Place
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8.36North Carolina State University1.095.3%1st Place
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11.95University of Wisconsin0.362.4%1st Place
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10.05Old Dominion University0.974.0%1st Place
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6.15Roger Williams University1.9710.7%1st Place
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10.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.912.7%1st Place
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13.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.100.9%1st Place
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10.72St. Mary's College of Maryland0.613.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Hemans | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 5.7% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.7% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Freeman | 16.0% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 12.7% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 13.5% |
| Gianna Dewey | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 6.6% |
| Katherine Mason | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 34.9% |
| Lily Flack | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.