← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.64+3.60vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College1.60+5.44vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+3.68vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+6.13vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University0.97+4.41vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida1.60+1.64vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont0.48+4.31vs Predicted
-
8North Carolina State University1.09+0.04vs Predicted
-
9Christopher Newport University0.65+1.73vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University1.97-4.11vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University1.86-4.13vs Predicted
-
12Tulane University1.73-4.91vs Predicted
-
13Boston College2.40-7.37vs Predicted
-
14University of Wisconsin0.36-2.72vs Predicted
-
15St. Mary's College of Maryland0.61-4.64vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.6Stanford University2.6415.8%1st Place
-
7.44Dartmouth College1.606.2%1st Place
-
6.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.8%1st Place
-
10.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.913.4%1st Place
-
9.41Old Dominion University0.973.8%1st Place
-
7.64University of South Florida1.606.8%1st Place
-
11.31University of Vermont0.482.9%1st Place
-
8.04North Carolina State University1.095.5%1st Place
-
10.73Christopher Newport University0.652.2%1st Place
-
5.89Roger Williams University1.9711.0%1st Place
-
6.87Georgetown University1.868.1%1st Place
-
7.09Tulane University1.737.3%1st Place
-
5.63Boston College2.4012.0%1st Place
-
11.28University of Wisconsin0.362.4%1st Place
-
10.36St. Mary's College of Maryland0.612.5%1st Place
-
12.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 15.8% | 14.1% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 7.2% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 14.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 10.4% |
| Lucy Meagher | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 14.7% |
| Lily Flack | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.2% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 35.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.