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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.60+6.66vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.64+2.55vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.09+4.99vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+6.28vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.86+1.71vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.97-0.07vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.60+0.44vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University0.65+2.84vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.48+2.16vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-3.36vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.40-5.17vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-1.93vs Predicted
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13Tulane University1.73-6.04vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.97-4.43vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin0.36-3.65vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.66University of South Florida1.605.9%1st Place
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4.55Stanford University2.6417.0%1st Place
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7.99North Carolina State University1.095.7%1st Place
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10.28St. Mary's College of Maryland0.672.8%1st Place
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6.71Georgetown University1.868.6%1st Place
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5.93Roger Williams University1.9710.5%1st Place
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7.44Dartmouth College1.606.8%1st Place
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10.84Christopher Newport University0.652.6%1st Place
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11.16University of Vermont0.482.6%1st Place
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6.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.9%1st Place
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5.83Boston College2.4010.6%1st Place
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10.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.912.9%1st Place
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6.96Tulane University1.737.8%1st Place
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9.57Old Dominion University0.973.8%1st Place
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11.35University of Wisconsin0.362.4%1st Place
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13.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kay Brunsvold | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Freeman | 17.0% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Lucy Meagher | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 10.7% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 13.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 4.6% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 15.0% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 15.7% | 36.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.