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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.36+6.12vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+10.67vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College4.15+5.11vs Predicted
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4Washington College3.65+6.20vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.56+5.85vs Predicted
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6Tufts University4.08+2.26vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+3.15vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University4.74-2.09vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin4.10-0.96vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University4.01-1.50vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+2.08vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.89-2.55vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.66-3.09vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College4.06-5.52vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.64-4.92vs Predicted
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16Princeton University0.55+2.27vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.07-4.49vs Predicted
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18Stanford University4.05-9.71vs Predicted
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19Connecticut College3.55-8.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.12Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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12.67St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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8.11SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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10.2Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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10.85Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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8.26Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.0%1st Place
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5.91Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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8.04University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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8.5Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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13.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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9.45Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.91U. S. Naval Academy3.660.0%1st Place
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8.48Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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10.08College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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18.27Princeton University0.550.0%1st Place
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12.51Roger Williams University3.070.0%1st Place
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8.29Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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10.11Connecticut College3.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Kopp | 7.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| John Wallace | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 13.3% | 16.6% | 3.0% |
| Shawn Murray | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Michael Whitford | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Pesch | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 1.0% |
| William Haeger | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Louis Padnos | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 0.2% |
| Chris Barnard | 12.9% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Bates | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 18.5% | 4.6% |
| Cam Cullman | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Jason Carminati | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Sam Williams | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Mac Mace | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Grasso | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 6.1% | 83.1% |
| George Saunders | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 3.5% |
| Kevin Laube | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| IG Schottlaender | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.