← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University1.97+5.00vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.64+2.66vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University1.86+3.74vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+6.52vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida1.60+2.59vs Predicted
-
6North Carolina State University1.09+1.80vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University0.97+2.63vs Predicted
-
8University of Wisconsin0.36+3.28vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91+1.13vs Predicted
-
10Boston College2.40-4.27vs Predicted
-
11Christopher Newport University0.65-0.15vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-5.27vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-0.14vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont0.48-2.83vs Predicted
-
15Tulane University1.73-7.85vs Predicted
-
16Dartmouth College1.60-8.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.0Roger Williams University1.9710.8%1st Place
-
4.66Stanford University2.6416.2%1st Place
-
6.74Georgetown University1.868.2%1st Place
-
10.52St. Mary's College of Maryland0.672.5%1st Place
-
7.59University of South Florida1.606.7%1st Place
-
7.8North Carolina State University1.095.9%1st Place
-
9.63Old Dominion University0.973.6%1st Place
-
11.28University of Wisconsin0.361.9%1st Place
-
10.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.913.3%1st Place
-
5.73Boston College2.4011.9%1st Place
-
10.85Christopher Newport University0.651.6%1st Place
-
6.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.637.3%1st Place
-
12.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.4%1st Place
-
11.17University of Vermont0.482.5%1st Place
-
7.15Tulane University1.737.6%1st Place
-
7.16Dartmouth College1.608.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Meagher | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Freeman | 16.2% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.6% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 4.5% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 13.9% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 7.3% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 11.9% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 15.2% | 36.7% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 13.2% |
| Caroline Benson | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Taylor Eastman | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.