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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.36+6.14vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University4.01+6.66vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.74+2.78vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.64+6.23vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.89+4.35vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College4.15+1.96vs Predicted
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7Stanford University4.05+1.43vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+4.85vs Predicted
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9Washington College3.65+0.98vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.07+2.54vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College4.06-2.64vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin4.10-3.44vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-0.13vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-3.75vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.56-4.62vs Predicted
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16Princeton University0.55+2.27vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.55-6.49vs Predicted
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18Tufts University4.08-9.82vs Predicted
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19U. S. Naval Academy3.66-9.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.14Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.66Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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5.78Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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10.23College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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9.35Yale University3.890.0%1st Place
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7.96SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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8.43Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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12.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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9.98Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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12.54Roger Williams University3.070.0%1st Place
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8.36Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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8.56University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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12.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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10.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.0%1st Place
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10.38Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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18.27Princeton University0.550.0%1st Place
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10.51Connecticut College3.550.0%1st Place
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8.18Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.7U. S. Naval Academy3.660.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Kopp | 6.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Chris Barnard | 13.0% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mac Mace | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 0.3% |
| Cam Cullman | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Shawn Murray | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Laube | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 5.8% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 0.6% |
| George Saunders | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 2.2% |
| Sam Williams | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Bates | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 17.1% | 4.5% |
| Louis Padnos | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Pesch | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Grasso | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 6.6% | 82.4% |
| IG Schottlaender | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 0.7% |
| William Haeger | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Jason Carminati | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.