← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.64+3.72vs Predicted
-
2Boston College2.40+3.65vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College1.60+4.52vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+2.69vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University1.09+2.83vs Predicted
-
6Christopher Newport University0.65+4.87vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.97-1.07vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida1.60-0.50vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83+1.02vs Predicted
-
10University of Wisconsin0.36+1.24vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10+2.07vs Predicted
-
12Tulane University1.73-4.73vs Predicted
-
13Georgetown University1.86-6.19vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University0.97-4.63vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont0.48-3.92vs Predicted
-
16Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-5.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.72Stanford University2.6415.6%1st Place
-
5.65Boston College2.4011.2%1st Place
-
7.52Dartmouth College1.605.7%1st Place
-
6.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.639.2%1st Place
-
7.83North Carolina State University1.096.9%1st Place
-
10.87Christopher Newport University0.652.5%1st Place
-
5.93Roger Williams University1.9710.0%1st Place
-
7.5University of South Florida1.607.2%1st Place
-
10.02St. Mary's College of Maryland0.833.1%1st Place
-
11.24University of Wisconsin0.362.2%1st Place
-
13.07U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.100.6%1st Place
-
7.27Tulane University1.736.8%1st Place
-
6.81Georgetown University1.868.7%1st Place
-
9.37Old Dominion University0.974.2%1st Place
-
11.08University of Vermont0.483.4%1st Place
-
10.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.912.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 15.6% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Eastman | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 11.5% |
| Lucy Meagher | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Lina Carper | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 6.3% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 14.3% |
| Katherine Mason | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 15.8% | 36.4% |
| Caroline Benson | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Gianna Dewey | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 4.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 14.7% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.