← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida1.60+5.65vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University0.97+6.73vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University1.86+2.83vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University1.09+3.19vs Predicted
-
5Boston College2.40+0.07vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College1.60+0.57vs Predicted
-
7Tulane University1.73-0.63vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83+1.17vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University1.97-3.81vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75-0.24vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont0.48-0.42vs Predicted
-
12Christopher Newport University0.65-1.97vs Predicted
-
13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-3.41vs Predicted
-
14Stanford University-0.18-1.53vs Predicted
-
15University of Wisconsin0.36-4.49vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-3.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.65University of South Florida1.609.6%1st Place
-
8.73Old Dominion University0.974.3%1st Place
-
5.83Georgetown University1.8610.5%1st Place
-
7.19North Carolina State University1.097.2%1st Place
-
5.07Boston College2.4012.8%1st Place
-
6.57Dartmouth College1.608.8%1st Place
-
6.37Tulane University1.738.9%1st Place
-
9.17St. Mary's College of Maryland0.834.2%1st Place
-
5.19Roger Williams University1.9714.9%1st Place
-
9.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.754.0%1st Place
-
10.58University of Vermont0.482.5%1st Place
-
10.03Christopher Newport University0.653.6%1st Place
-
9.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.913.6%1st Place
-
12.47Stanford University-0.181.0%1st Place
-
10.51University of Wisconsin0.362.5%1st Place
-
12.29U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kay Brunsvold | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Gianna Dewey | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Kelly Bates | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 12.8% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Eastman | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Benson | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Lina Carper | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 3.6% |
| Lucy Meagher | 14.9% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 5.5% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.7% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.4% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.5% |
| Isabelle McNabb | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 16.7% | 28.0% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.