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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University4.01+7.65vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.74+3.77vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+9.66vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.89+5.08vs Predicted
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5Harvard University4.36+2.40vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.66+3.97vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.07+5.58vs Predicted
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8Tufts University4.08+0.54vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+3.77vs Predicted
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10Washington College3.65+0.07vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.64-0.74vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College4.15-3.71vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin4.10-5.08vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-3.71vs Predicted
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15Stanford University4.05-6.71vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College4.06-7.73vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.55-6.47vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.56-7.54vs Predicted
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19Princeton University0.55-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.65Old Dominion University4.010.0%1st Place
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5.77Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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12.66St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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9.08Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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7.4Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.97U. S. Naval Academy3.660.0%1st Place
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12.58Roger Williams University3.070.0%1st Place
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8.54Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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12.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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10.07Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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10.26College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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8.29SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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7.92University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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10.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.0%1st Place
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8.29Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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8.27Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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10.53Connecticut College3.550.0%1st Place
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10.46Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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18.2Princeton University0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Paiva | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Chris Barnard | 13.5% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Wallace | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 4.3% |
| Cam Cullman | 5.3% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Kopp | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jason Carminati | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 0.4% |
| George Saunders | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 14.9% | 3.1% |
| William Haeger | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Bates | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 17.5% | 4.2% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Mac Mace | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| Shawn Murray | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Louis Padnos | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 0.8% |
| Kevin Laube | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Sam Williams | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| IG Schottlaender | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Pesch | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Grasso | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 5.9% | 82.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.