Race 1A

sodus-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
John Wynne 3.0% 4.8% 4.3% 5.6% 6.3% 8.2% 11.1% 14.9% 18.1% 18.6% 5.0%
Anthony Farrar 11.1% 10.8% 10.9% 11.2% 10.7% 11.1% 14.3% 10.1% 7.3% 2.4% 0.2%
Jack Merrill 10.9% 10.4% 10.9% 10.5% 13.0% 12.8% 11.1% 10.4% 6.9% 2.6% 0.4%
Cameron Turner 20.6% 17.2% 15.9% 13.7% 12.2% 9.3% 6.2% 3.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Henry Polaski 7.2% 8.8% 10.2% 10.9% 10.5% 12.6% 12.8% 13.3% 8.1% 5.1% 0.4%
Callum Linegar 9.3% 11.2% 11.9% 12.2% 11.9% 12.8% 11.8% 9.3% 6.7% 2.4% 0.3%
Barrett Lhamon 20.9% 18.0% 16.7% 14.8% 11.3% 7.5% 5.3% 3.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Alan Becker 11.8% 12.9% 11.8% 13.1% 13.2% 12.0% 10.1% 8.3% 4.3% 2.1% 0.3%
Collin Ross 2.6% 2.8% 3.3% 3.4% 4.1% 6.0% 8.6% 12.2% 20.7% 26.8% 9.6%
Asa Guldbrandsen 2.2% 2.6% 3.4% 4.0% 5.8% 6.3% 7.5% 12.5% 20.5% 27.1% 8.1%
Nic Delia 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 1.2% 1.2% 2.4% 4.4% 12.0% 75.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.