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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.48+3.26vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.50+2.35vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College3.83+0.52vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.93+1.29vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.81+0.50vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.75-0.23vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin2.61-0.87vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-4.00vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.56-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26Boston College3.480.2%1st Place
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4.35Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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3.52Eckerd College3.830.2%1st Place
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5.29University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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5.5Georgetown University2.810.1%1st Place
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5.77Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.13University of Wisconsin2.610.1%1st Place
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4.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.2%1st Place
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6.17Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briana Provancha | 15.2% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 3.8% |
| Claire Dennis | 11.3% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 22.1% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 11.9% |
| Lauren Burke | 7.3% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 14.4% | 15.2% |
| Caroline Wilhelm | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 16.0% |
| Christine Porter | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 17.6% | 20.9% |
| Caroline Patten | 16.6% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% |
| Katherine Doble | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 17.0% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.