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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.38+2.82vs Predicted
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2Florida State University0.37+7.00vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.45+2.55vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.57+1.74vs Predicted
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5University of Miami1.93+0.91vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College0.85+1.14vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.950.00vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.58-3.07vs Predicted
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9Clemson University0.12-0.52vs Predicted
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10The Citadel0.33-0.95vs Predicted
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11Auburn University-0.02-0.79vs Predicted
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12Wake Forest University0.18-2.33vs Predicted
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13Duke University-0.63-0.95vs Predicted
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14Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11-0.34vs Predicted
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15University of Central Florida-0.46-1.84vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina-0.92-3.27vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82College of Charleston2.3820.7%1st Place
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9.0Florida State University0.373.8%1st Place
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5.55University of South Florida1.4511.2%1st Place
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5.74North Carolina State University1.5710.0%1st Place
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5.91University of Miami1.9310.2%1st Place
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7.14Eckerd College0.856.0%1st Place
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7.0Rollins College0.955.9%1st Place
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4.93Jacksonville University1.5813.7%1st Place
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8.48Clemson University0.124.2%1st Place
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9.05The Citadel0.334.2%1st Place
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10.21Auburn University-0.022.5%1st Place
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9.67Wake Forest University0.183.4%1st Place
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12.05Duke University-0.631.6%1st Place
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13.66Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.110.7%1st Place
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13.16University of Central Florida-0.460.8%1st Place
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12.73University of North Carolina-0.921.2%1st Place
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14.89University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.680.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 20.7% | 18.8% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 11.2% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Milo Miller | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cole Schweda | 13.7% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashton Loring | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Henry Ryan | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Ruth Palmer | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Zhaohui Harry Ding | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 7.6% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 20.3% | 19.9% |
| Julian Larsen | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 15.6% | 19.1% | 13.9% |
| Emma Gumny | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 10.9% |
| Abbi Barnette | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 19.0% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.