Race 2A

sodus-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Barrett Lhamon 19.6% 18.3% 17.2% 14.1% 11.2% 8.6% 6.2% 3.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Jack Merrill 10.9% 11.0% 12.0% 10.5% 12.3% 11.8% 12.8% 10.2% 6.2% 1.9% 0.2%
Anthony Farrar 10.6% 10.1% 10.6% 10.7% 12.6% 12.2% 12.8% 11.2% 7.4% 1.8% 0.1%
Henry Polaski 9.2% 9.7% 9.7% 10.7% 10.4% 12.3% 13.2% 12.2% 8.5% 3.6% 0.4%
Alan Becker 11.9% 12.6% 12.1% 14.2% 13.2% 11.9% 10.0% 9.1% 3.2% 1.4% 0.2%
Cameron Turner 20.0% 18.3% 16.1% 14.0% 11.7% 10.2% 5.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
John Wynne 3.9% 3.6% 3.9% 6.6% 7.1% 7.6% 10.8% 16.8% 22.0% 14.5% 3.2%
Callum Linegar 9.6% 11.7% 12.5% 11.7% 12.4% 13.2% 12.6% 9.0% 4.9% 2.3% 0.2%
Collin Ross 2.6% 2.8% 3.1% 4.5% 4.8% 6.1% 9.2% 14.1% 22.8% 23.8% 6.3%
Nic Delia 0.4% 0.2% 0.7% 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 1.6% 2.5% 5.1% 14.4% 72.2%
Carlos Lopez 1.2% 1.8% 2.1% 2.4% 3.1% 5.0% 5.3% 9.2% 17.2% 35.4% 17.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.