Race 3A

sodus-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Anthony Farrar 9.7% 10.5% 10.5% 11.3% 11.6% 11.0% 13.2% 12.1% 7.2% 2.7% 0.2%
Cameron Turner 19.2% 17.4% 17.1% 14.0% 11.9% 9.0% 6.3% 3.3% 1.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Henry Polaski 8.6% 9.0% 10.4% 9.8% 11.1% 11.6% 12.7% 12.4% 9.0% 4.7% 0.7%
Jack Merrill 10.8% 10.1% 11.3% 11.8% 12.9% 13.2% 10.6% 9.5% 6.3% 3.1% 0.2%
Callum Linegar 11.5% 11.5% 10.8% 12.0% 12.4% 12.4% 11.1% 9.8% 6.1% 2.3% 0.1%
Barrett Lhamon 20.8% 17.3% 16.5% 14.0% 10.3% 10.0% 6.2% 3.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Alan Becker 10.1% 12.8% 11.2% 12.8% 13.8% 12.3% 11.6% 7.6% 5.5% 2.2% 0.2%
Collin Ross 2.7% 3.0% 3.8% 4.9% 4.2% 6.2% 8.9% 12.6% 18.6% 26.6% 8.5%
Martin Oka 1.9% 3.0% 3.1% 3.8% 4.3% 5.6% 7.8% 11.7% 19.8% 29.5% 9.5%
John Wynne 4.4% 5.0% 4.6% 5.1% 6.4% 7.2% 10.2% 15.0% 19.4% 17.9% 4.7%
Nic Delia 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 1.1% 1.4% 1.5% 3.0% 4.9% 10.4% 75.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.