Race 4A

sodus-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Callum Linegar 11.4% 12.4% 10.9% 12.8% 12.3% 11.7% 11.7% 8.6% 5.9% 2.2% 0.1%
Cameron Turner 18.5% 19.2% 16.6% 14.5% 11.9% 8.2% 6.3% 3.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Anthony Farrar 10.7% 9.4% 10.1% 11.1% 13.3% 12.2% 11.3% 10.8% 8.1% 2.8% 0.4%
Henry Polaski 8.6% 8.3% 8.6% 9.6% 11.7% 12.4% 14.1% 12.6% 9.2% 4.2% 0.7%
Alan Becker 11.0% 13.7% 13.2% 13.2% 12.0% 13.2% 9.6% 7.8% 4.6% 1.6% 0.1%
Jack Merrill 9.6% 10.7% 11.3% 12.4% 11.6% 12.1% 12.0% 11.0% 6.6% 2.5% 0.3%
Barrett Lhamon 22.2% 17.5% 18.4% 13.1% 10.2% 7.9% 5.8% 3.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Collin Ross 2.6% 2.4% 3.3% 4.0% 5.4% 6.3% 8.6% 12.2% 19.2% 26.5% 9.4%
John Wynne 3.3% 3.4% 3.6% 5.2% 6.4% 9.2% 10.0% 16.4% 19.7% 18.0% 4.7%
Martin Oka 1.6% 2.3% 3.4% 3.5% 4.3% 5.8% 9.3% 11.1% 19.3% 31.1% 8.3%
Nic Delia 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 1.3% 3.2% 4.7% 10.3% 75.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.