Race 16A

admiral-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
Jason Carminati 3.5% 5.2% 4.7% 4.1% 5.4% 5.9% 5.3% 5.6% 5.0% 4.9% 6.9% 5.3% 6.2% 7.2% 5.5% 6.7% 6.1% 5.5% 1.0%
Mac Mace 4.4% 4.0% 5.1% 5.1% 4.3% 5.0% 6.6% 5.4% 4.5% 4.3% 5.5% 6.2% 6.8% 6.0% 8.3% 6.3% 6.5% 5.0% 0.7%
IG Schottlaender 4.5% 5.0% 4.2% 3.5% 4.0% 4.4% 4.7% 5.0% 5.5% 4.6% 3.8% 6.7% 7.1% 6.7% 6.8% 8.5% 6.4% 7.4% 1.2%
Chris Barnard 13.1% 12.7% 9.9% 9.9% 9.2% 9.1% 6.6% 6.5% 6.6% 3.9% 4.2% 3.1% 1.7% 1.0% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Dillon Paiva 4.5% 5.8% 7.1% 6.1% 6.2% 6.1% 6.2% 6.5% 6.4% 7.3% 6.6% 5.2% 5.0% 5.3% 6.1% 3.8% 3.8% 1.7% 0.3%
Brendan Kopp 9.5% 10.2% 8.9% 7.9% 7.7% 7.5% 5.7% 5.9% 5.9% 5.9% 5.8% 3.7% 3.6% 3.9% 2.3% 3.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Kevin Laube 6.9% 6.1% 6.1% 6.1% 6.7% 5.8% 6.9% 6.6% 5.9% 6.9% 6.4% 4.5% 7.5% 5.4% 4.1% 3.8% 2.9% 1.4% 0.0%
Shawn Murray 7.2% 6.7% 6.2% 7.2% 7.1% 6.7% 6.4% 5.4% 6.4% 6.1% 5.0% 6.9% 6.0% 5.4% 3.1% 4.0% 2.3% 1.6% 0.3%
Joseph Kutschenreuter 7.6% 7.2% 7.2% 7.9% 5.7% 6.9% 6.2% 5.4% 7.3% 6.4% 5.3% 5.7% 4.6% 4.7% 4.4% 3.4% 2.0% 1.9% 0.2%
Michael Whitford 4.6% 4.2% 5.4% 4.3% 3.9% 5.2% 5.4% 5.5% 5.9% 6.3% 6.4% 6.0% 5.7% 6.8% 6.5% 7.1% 5.6% 4.5% 0.7%
John Wallace 2.5% 1.9% 3.4% 1.7% 3.2% 2.5% 3.8% 4.2% 3.3% 4.1% 4.3% 5.5% 5.4% 7.0% 6.4% 10.3% 12.8% 14.5% 3.2%
William Haeger 6.4% 6.4% 4.5% 6.8% 6.2% 5.5% 7.9% 5.8% 5.8% 7.6% 6.8% 6.9% 5.0% 5.2% 6.0% 3.1% 2.8% 1.2% 0.1%
Sam Williams 7.1% 7.4% 7.2% 5.8% 7.2% 6.3% 5.8% 6.9% 6.7% 6.7% 6.7% 5.7% 5.2% 3.7% 4.0% 3.4% 2.7% 1.2% 0.3%
Cam Cullman 5.6% 4.4% 5.6% 6.5% 5.4% 6.9% 5.8% 6.3% 5.8% 6.2% 6.2% 4.6% 6.0% 6.2% 6.5% 5.5% 3.3% 2.9% 0.3%
Ryan Pesch 4.5% 4.1% 4.3% 5.5% 5.6% 3.6% 5.8% 4.7% 4.8% 5.8% 4.3% 4.9% 7.1% 6.1% 6.6% 6.9% 7.0% 7.1% 1.3%
Louis Padnos 4.5% 4.3% 4.8% 4.9% 6.1% 5.8% 4.0% 5.8% 6.2% 4.9% 5.8% 6.9% 5.5% 7.1% 6.6% 6.1% 6.3% 4.0% 0.4%
Andrew Bates 1.7% 2.3% 2.6% 2.6% 2.8% 3.0% 3.9% 3.4% 3.5% 3.0% 4.9% 5.1% 5.5% 5.0% 6.2% 8.2% 13.9% 18.6% 3.8%
George Saunders 1.8% 1.8% 2.5% 3.6% 3.1% 3.4% 2.6% 4.7% 4.3% 4.7% 4.7% 6.6% 5.1% 6.6% 7.3% 7.6% 10.8% 15.1% 3.7%
Andrew Grasso 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 1.0% 0.7% 1.8% 1.5% 2.5% 5.9% 82.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.