Race 5A

sodus-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ethan Stone 10.5% 11.9% 11.1% 11.8% 12.5% 12.8% 13.0% 8.8% 5.5% 2.1% 0.1%
Jack Merrill 11.5% 11.0% 11.4% 12.2% 10.7% 12.7% 11.8% 10.1% 6.4% 1.9% 0.3%
Anthony Farrar 9.0% 10.8% 11.8% 10.7% 12.4% 11.8% 12.6% 10.8% 7.4% 2.5% 0.1%
Callum Linegar 11.1% 12.0% 12.2% 13.7% 12.8% 12.3% 10.7% 8.1% 4.9% 2.0% 0.2%
Cameron Turner 20.8% 18.1% 15.2% 15.1% 11.4% 8.6% 5.8% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Henry Polaski 8.6% 7.9% 9.8% 10.0% 13.7% 13.5% 12.5% 11.8% 8.6% 3.4% 0.3%
Josephine Freis 1.2% 1.8% 1.9% 2.7% 3.4% 3.8% 6.3% 10.3% 17.0% 36.0% 15.4%
John Wynne 3.9% 4.9% 4.7% 4.9% 5.9% 8.6% 10.8% 15.7% 20.3% 16.5% 3.9%
Nic Delia 0.4% 0.5% 0.7% 1.0% 0.9% 1.5% 1.4% 3.5% 5.9% 11.5% 72.9%
Collin Ross 2.9% 2.5% 2.9% 5.0% 5.0% 5.5% 9.7% 14.5% 21.9% 23.6% 6.7%
Barrett Lhamon 20.0% 18.6% 18.4% 13.0% 11.5% 8.9% 5.5% 2.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.