Race 6A

sodus-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Cameron Turner 19.9% 17.4% 17.3% 13.8% 11.2% 9.5% 6.3% 3.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Jack Merrill 11.6% 11.7% 11.7% 11.7% 13.5% 11.7% 11.8% 9.3% 5.4% 1.7% 0.1%
Ethan Stone 11.1% 10.3% 11.0% 12.3% 13.4% 13.4% 11.9% 9.7% 5.0% 1.8% 0.2%
Henry Polaski 8.6% 8.5% 9.8% 10.9% 11.1% 12.7% 14.1% 11.7% 8.6% 3.6% 0.3%
Callum Linegar 11.1% 11.1% 12.0% 12.2% 13.2% 13.0% 10.7% 9.4% 5.2% 1.8% 0.3%
Barrett Lhamon 20.6% 21.6% 15.5% 13.5% 10.8% 7.8% 5.8% 2.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Anthony Farrar 9.6% 11.2% 11.3% 11.4% 11.2% 13.5% 12.3% 10.5% 6.6% 2.4% 0.1%
Collin Ross 2.4% 3.0% 4.2% 4.1% 4.7% 6.3% 8.3% 13.7% 21.6% 25.5% 6.2%
John Wynne 3.5% 3.4% 4.0% 6.0% 7.1% 7.3% 11.2% 14.9% 21.2% 16.5% 4.8%
Josephine Freis 1.3% 1.5% 2.2% 3.5% 3.0% 3.6% 5.7% 11.4% 17.2% 34.1% 16.4%
Nic Delia 0.5% 0.4% 0.8% 0.6% 0.9% 1.2% 2.1% 2.9% 6.8% 12.2% 71.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.