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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.74+4.71vs Predicted
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2Washington College3.65+8.22vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.06+5.50vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College4.15+3.99vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin4.10+3.41vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+6.82vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.64+3.28vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.07+4.73vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.89-0.10vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+0.06vs Predicted
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11Tufts University4.08-2.69vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University4.01-3.00vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.56-2.69vs Predicted
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14Stanford University4.05-5.44vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.55-4.56vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.66-6.01vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-4.39vs Predicted
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18Princeton University0.55+0.39vs Predicted
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19Harvard University4.36-12.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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10.22Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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8.5Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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7.99SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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8.41University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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12.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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10.28College of Charleston3.640.0%1st Place
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12.73Roger Williams University3.070.0%1st Place
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8.9Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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10.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.0%1st Place
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8.31Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.0Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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10.31Boston University3.560.0%1st Place
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8.56Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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10.44Connecticut College3.550.0%1st Place
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9.99U. S. Naval Academy3.660.0%1st Place
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12.61St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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18.39Princeton University0.550.0%1st Place
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6.74Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Barnard | 11.9% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 0.1% |
| Sam Williams | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Shawn Murray | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Bates | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 19.5% | 5.2% |
| Mac Mace | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 0.3% |
| George Saunders | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 3.7% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Louis Padnos | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| William Haeger | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Pesch | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Laube | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| IG Schottlaender | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 0.6% |
| Jason Carminati | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 0.5% |
| John Wallace | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 3.7% |
| Andrew Grasso | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 6.6% | 83.3% |
| Brendan Kopp | 10.4% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.