Race 7A

sodus-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Anthony Farrar 9.3% 10.5% 12.4% 12.0% 11.7% 12.0% 11.9% 11.1% 6.3% 2.4% 0.2%
Ethan Stone 10.4% 12.3% 11.6% 11.1% 12.2% 13.2% 12.2% 10.0% 5.5% 1.3% 0.1%
Cameron Turner 19.5% 18.1% 17.2% 14.5% 11.2% 7.8% 6.8% 3.2% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Jack Merrill 11.9% 10.5% 11.8% 12.7% 11.9% 13.2% 11.2% 9.4% 5.2% 2.1% 0.1%
Henry Polaski 8.2% 9.4% 9.0% 11.2% 12.8% 12.0% 13.5% 12.2% 8.2% 2.9% 0.5%
Callum Linegar 10.2% 12.2% 11.4% 12.7% 12.7% 12.2% 12.3% 9.3% 5.0% 1.8% 0.1%
Barrett Lhamon 22.5% 18.1% 15.3% 13.6% 12.6% 8.3% 5.5% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
John Wynne 3.6% 3.5% 4.9% 5.1% 6.0% 9.0% 10.7% 15.4% 21.2% 16.8% 3.8%
Collin Ross 2.3% 3.0% 3.5% 3.9% 4.5% 6.7% 7.7% 13.2% 22.8% 25.4% 7.0%
Josephine Freis 1.6% 1.9% 2.1% 2.9% 3.6% 4.3% 6.5% 10.3% 17.3% 34.4% 14.9%
Nic Delia 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 1.8% 3.1% 6.0% 12.4% 73.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.