Race 8A

sodus-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Cameron Turner 19.1% 17.8% 18.4% 13.7% 10.5% 9.0% 6.3% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Anthony Farrar 8.2% 11.2% 10.3% 11.8% 12.4% 12.8% 12.4% 11.5% 6.5% 2.5% 0.2%
Henry Polaski 8.8% 7.8% 9.6% 10.1% 13.5% 11.4% 14.1% 13.0% 7.6% 3.7% 0.5%
Barrett Lhamon 20.8% 19.7% 15.7% 14.2% 11.8% 8.4% 5.3% 2.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Jack Merrill 11.8% 11.0% 10.3% 12.7% 12.8% 13.9% 10.5% 9.6% 5.5% 1.9% 0.1%
Callum Linegar 11.9% 11.8% 10.9% 13.0% 10.9% 13.2% 12.1% 8.2% 5.7% 2.1% 0.2%
Collin Ross 2.2% 3.5% 4.0% 4.0% 5.0% 5.8% 9.1% 13.6% 22.0% 23.6% 7.2%
Ethan Stone 11.6% 10.8% 12.6% 11.3% 11.6% 12.3% 12.1% 9.7% 5.7% 2.0% 0.2%
John Wynne 3.5% 3.7% 4.5% 6.0% 6.7% 7.9% 10.3% 15.5% 20.6% 17.1% 4.2%
Josephine Freis 1.2% 2.1% 2.8% 2.6% 3.6% 4.3% 5.9% 10.5% 18.4% 32.6% 16.0%
Nic Delia 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 1.9% 2.4% 5.7% 13.9% 71.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.