Race 9A

sodus-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jack Merrill 11.1% 11.2% 11.3% 12.7% 13.0% 12.8% 11.2% 9.2% 5.8% 1.4% 0.4%
Cameron Turner 20.4% 18.5% 15.8% 13.2% 12.0% 9.0% 6.5% 2.6% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Ethan Stone 11.7% 11.2% 11.6% 12.8% 11.7% 12.0% 12.1% 10.2% 4.9% 1.6% 0.2%
Anthony Farrar 8.8% 12.0% 11.2% 10.9% 12.2% 12.8% 12.3% 10.8% 7.1% 1.6% 0.2%
Callum Linegar 10.3% 11.1% 12.3% 13.3% 13.2% 12.0% 11.3% 8.8% 5.8% 1.8% 0.1%
Barrett Lhamon 20.2% 18.9% 18.4% 12.3% 10.8% 9.8% 5.5% 2.5% 1.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Henry Polaski 8.5% 8.6% 9.2% 11.9% 11.0% 11.7% 14.3% 12.2% 8.8% 3.6% 0.2%
Collin Ross 2.8% 2.9% 3.2% 4.2% 5.3% 6.0% 8.8% 13.6% 21.6% 25.3% 6.2%
John Wynne 4.0% 3.7% 4.5% 5.7% 6.5% 8.3% 11.2% 17.3% 20.1% 15.2% 3.5%
Josephine Freis 2.1% 1.7% 2.2% 2.6% 3.2% 4.2% 5.7% 10.2% 18.3% 36.9% 12.9%
Sophie Fernandez 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.2% 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 2.2% 4.9% 12.4% 76.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.