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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State Behrend0.41+3.96vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology1.06+1.50vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.49+1.89vs Predicted
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4Cornell University0.47+0.97vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh0.24+0.40vs Predicted
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6Unknown School0.49-1.19vs Predicted
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7Penn State University1.13-3.54vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-0.63-0.75vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-0.99-1.05vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester-1.38-1.56vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-2.94-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96Penn State Behrend0.4110.2%1st Place
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3.5Rochester Institute of Technology1.0620.9%1st Place
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4.89University of Notre Dame0.4910.0%1st Place
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4.97Cornell University0.479.8%1st Place
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5.4University of Pittsburgh0.247.8%1st Place
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4.81Unknown School0.4911.7%1st Place
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3.46Penn State University1.1320.9%1st Place
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7.25Rochester Institute of Technology-0.633.8%1st Place
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7.95Syracuse University-0.992.4%1st Place
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8.44University of Rochester-1.382.3%1st Place
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10.37U. S. Military Academy-2.940.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Anthony Farrar | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
Cameron Turner | 20.9% | 18.9% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Ethan Stone | 10.0% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
Jack Merrill | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
Henry Polaski | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
Callum Linegar | 11.7% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
Barrett Lhamon | 20.9% | 18.6% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
John Wynne | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 17.4% | 19.9% | 17.1% | 3.8% |
Collin Ross | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 23.6% | 25.2% | 6.8% |
Josephine Freis | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 19.1% | 32.9% | 13.7% |
Sophie Fernandez | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 11.8% | 74.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.