Race 10A

sodus-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Anthony Farrar 10.2% 11.5% 11.1% 11.7% 11.8% 12.4% 12.1% 11.2% 5.2% 2.5% 0.2%
Cameron Turner 20.9% 18.9% 14.8% 14.6% 11.7% 8.3% 6.8% 2.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Ethan Stone 10.0% 10.4% 13.0% 12.0% 13.8% 12.5% 10.6% 9.5% 5.9% 2.4% 0.1%
Jack Merrill 9.8% 10.8% 10.5% 11.9% 13.4% 13.7% 12.8% 9.2% 5.9% 2.1% 0.1%
Henry Polaski 7.8% 9.2% 10.3% 10.0% 10.8% 13.3% 15.1% 11.6% 7.8% 3.7% 0.3%
Callum Linegar 11.7% 11.0% 11.6% 12.6% 13.2% 11.7% 10.9% 9.3% 5.7% 2.2% 0.2%
Barrett Lhamon 20.9% 18.6% 16.9% 14.5% 10.4% 9.0% 6.0% 2.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
John Wynne 3.8% 4.1% 4.7% 4.9% 6.9% 8.2% 9.3% 17.4% 19.9% 17.1% 3.8%
Collin Ross 2.4% 2.8% 3.2% 4.0% 4.0% 6.2% 8.8% 13.0% 23.6% 25.2% 6.8%
Josephine Freis 2.3% 2.2% 3.4% 3.4% 2.9% 3.6% 6.3% 10.3% 19.1% 32.9% 13.7%
Sophie Fernandez 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 1.1% 0.9% 1.1% 3.4% 5.0% 11.8% 74.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.