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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology0.49+2.27vs Predicted
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2Hamilton College0.01+2.09vs Predicted
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3Penn State Behrend-0.45+2.07vs Predicted
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4Cornell University0.46-0.67vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-0.70+0.72vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-0.70-0.31vs Predicted
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7Unknown School0.16-3.04vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester-1.62-0.53vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology-1.99-0.80vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-2.56-0.93vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-3.45-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Rochester Institute of Technology0.4922.6%1st Place
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4.09Hamilton College0.0114.2%1st Place
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5.07Penn State Behrend-0.458.7%1st Place
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3.33Cornell University0.4620.7%1st Place
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5.72Penn State University-0.706.2%1st Place
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5.69University of Pittsburgh-0.706.5%1st Place
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3.96Unknown School0.1615.7%1st Place
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7.47University of Rochester-1.622.5%1st Place
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8.2Rochester Institute of Technology-1.991.6%1st Place
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9.07Syracuse University-2.561.0%1st Place
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10.12U. S. Military Academy-3.450.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Bender | 22.6% | 20.2% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stewart | 14.2% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Bryce Nill | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Lane | 20.7% | 20.0% | 17.6% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Kearns | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Maya Mills | 15.7% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Dapello | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 18.9% | 22.4% | 14.4% | 5.0% |
| Hayden Robertson | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 16.0% | 23.4% | 24.2% | 8.7% |
| Laura Jayne | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 16.7% | 35.2% | 22.2% |
| Kayla Teuscher | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 8.7% | 17.3% | 62.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.