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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.51+2.58vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.72+3.37vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.86+1.95vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.47+1.59vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.29-1.08vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.97-1.41vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.94-0.17vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.13-3.64vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.41-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58Boston College3.510.2%1st Place
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5.37Tufts University2.720.1%1st Place
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4.95University of Vermont2.860.1%1st Place
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5.59Eckerd College2.470.1%1st Place
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3.92Yale University3.290.2%1st Place
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4.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.970.1%1st Place
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6.83University of Wisconsin1.940.0%1st Place
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4.36Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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5.81Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Hudson | 20.3% | 18.3% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Meghan Pesch | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 11.1% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 9.9% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 7.9% |
| Amy Baxter | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 14.7% |
| Emily Billing | 17.8% | 17.7% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Sarah Yuskaitis | 12.0% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% |
| Mary Cummins | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 17.9% | 35.2% |
| Brendan Cook | 14.1% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 4.6% |
| Sarah Fiske | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.