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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.38+2.79vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.57+3.87vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.93+2.84vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.45+1.88vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College0.85+1.96vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.58-1.09vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.95+0.06vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.12+0.59vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.37-0.03vs Predicted
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10The Citadel0.33-1.10vs Predicted
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11Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.11+2.77vs Predicted
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12Wake Forest University0.18-2.30vs Predicted
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13Auburn University-0.02-2.97vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina-0.92-1.31vs Predicted
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15Duke University-0.63-2.81vs Predicted
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16University of Central Florida-0.46-2.90vs Predicted
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17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.68-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79College of Charleston2.3820.9%1st Place
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5.87North Carolina State University1.579.6%1st Place
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5.84University of Miami1.9310.6%1st Place
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5.88University of South Florida1.459.8%1st Place
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6.96Eckerd College0.857.0%1st Place
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4.91Jacksonville University1.5813.9%1st Place
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7.06Rollins College0.956.8%1st Place
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8.59Clemson University0.124.5%1st Place
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8.97Florida State University0.373.7%1st Place
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8.9The Citadel0.333.9%1st Place
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13.77Palm Beach Atlantic University-1.110.4%1st Place
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9.7Wake Forest University0.182.5%1st Place
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10.03Auburn University-0.022.5%1st Place
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12.69University of North Carolina-0.920.9%1st Place
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12.19Duke University-0.631.5%1st Place
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13.1University of Central Florida-0.460.8%1st Place
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14.76University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.680.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 20.9% | 17.4% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Dennis | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cole Schweda | 13.9% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ashton Loring | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Tollefson | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 20.7% | 22.1% |
| Ruth Palmer | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Henry Ryan | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Emma Gumny | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 10.4% |
| Zhaohui Harry Ding | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 7.1% |
| Julian Larsen | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 18.2% | 13.8% |
| Abbi Barnette | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 18.4% | 43.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.