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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology0.49+2.26vs Predicted
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2Hamilton College0.01+2.13vs Predicted
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3Cornell University0.46+0.33vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-0.70+1.62vs Predicted
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5Unknown School0.16-0.99vs Predicted
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6Penn State Behrend-0.45-0.95vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-0.70-1.26vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-1.99+0.25vs Predicted
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9University of Rochester-1.62-1.50vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-2.56-1.00vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-3.45-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26Rochester Institute of Technology0.4921.9%1st Place
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4.13Hamilton College0.0113.8%1st Place
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3.33Cornell University0.4622.4%1st Place
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5.62Penn State University-0.706.7%1st Place
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4.01Unknown School0.1614.8%1st Place
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5.05Penn State Behrend-0.458.8%1st Place
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5.74University of Pittsburgh-0.705.9%1st Place
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8.25Rochester Institute of Technology-1.991.5%1st Place
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7.5University of Rochester-1.622.5%1st Place
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9.0Syracuse University-2.561.0%1st Place
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10.11U. S. Military Academy-3.450.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Bender | 21.9% | 21.4% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Michael Stewart | 13.8% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Lane | 22.4% | 18.1% | 18.4% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Maya Mills | 14.8% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Bryce Nill | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 10.2% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Kearns | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 9.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Hayden Robertson | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 14.8% | 24.0% | 24.9% | 9.9% |
| Joseph Dapello | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 20.2% | 22.6% | 14.9% | 4.6% |
| Laura Jayne | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 18.1% | 33.4% | 22.1% |
| Kayla Teuscher | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 8.6% | 18.6% | 62.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.