Race 3B

sodus-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Cole Bender 22.8% 17.0% 18.4% 13.6% 12.8% 7.2% 5.1% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Maya Mills 14.1% 14.9% 14.1% 15.7% 13.4% 13.0% 8.6% 4.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Michael Stewart 14.8% 14.7% 13.7% 13.5% 14.0% 11.6% 9.7% 4.9% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Aidan Lane 22.1% 19.6% 18.4% 13.5% 12.8% 7.6% 4.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Bryce Nill 8.5% 10.6% 10.2% 13.1% 13.4% 13.8% 13.7% 10.0% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3%
Olivia Kearns 6.5% 8.1% 9.2% 10.2% 10.7% 13.0% 16.9% 13.9% 7.9% 3.5% 0.3%
Joseph Dapello 2.1% 3.4% 3.7% 5.5% 5.7% 7.4% 11.9% 20.2% 20.4% 16.2% 3.7%
Joseph Simpkins 6.0% 7.3% 8.8% 10.2% 10.3% 15.7% 15.2% 13.4% 9.8% 2.9% 0.4%
Laura Jayne 1.2% 1.5% 1.1% 1.6% 2.5% 3.2% 4.7% 9.7% 17.2% 34.5% 22.9%
Hayden Robertson 1.8% 2.6% 1.8% 2.6% 4.0% 6.3% 7.6% 15.3% 25.9% 23.5% 8.3%
Kayla Teuscher 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 1.2% 2.6% 3.6% 8.8% 17.4% 64.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.