Race 4B

sodus-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Aidan Lane 21.2% 19.5% 18.5% 15.2% 11.1% 7.8% 4.5% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Cole Bender 21.4% 19.2% 15.8% 13.8% 13.4% 8.8% 5.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Maya Mills 16.4% 16.8% 15.0% 14.4% 11.7% 11.9% 8.8% 3.6% 1.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Michael Stewart 12.9% 13.2% 15.9% 14.5% 14.9% 12.2% 8.8% 5.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Olivia Kearns 6.3% 6.7% 8.8% 8.3% 11.8% 13.5% 16.7% 15.7% 8.7% 2.9% 0.5%
Bryce Nill 9.0% 8.6% 10.2% 13.0% 12.8% 14.3% 14.9% 10.0% 5.3% 1.7% 0.0%
Joseph Dapello 2.0% 3.2% 3.1% 5.1% 6.1% 7.8% 9.7% 19.8% 21.4% 16.2% 5.5%
Laura Jayne 1.2% 0.9% 1.1% 2.0% 2.2% 2.7% 5.5% 9.0% 18.4% 34.4% 22.5%
Joseph Simpkins 7.0% 9.2% 7.6% 9.2% 11.2% 14.2% 15.3% 14.8% 8.6% 2.5% 0.4%
Hayden Robertson 2.2% 2.1% 3.2% 3.4% 3.7% 5.4% 8.6% 14.3% 24.2% 23.1% 9.8%
Kayla Teuscher 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 1.1% 1.1% 1.2% 2.4% 4.5% 8.6% 18.5% 61.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.