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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hamilton College0.01+2.84vs Predicted
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2Unknown School0.16+1.67vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-1.27+3.77vs Predicted
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4Cornell University0.46-1.01vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64+0.19vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-0.70-0.60vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-2.56+2.19vs Predicted
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8University of Pittsburgh-0.70-2.48vs Predicted
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9Penn State University-1.05-2.79vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester-1.62-2.42vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-2.94-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84Hamilton College0.0116.9%1st Place
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3.67Unknown School0.1616.8%1st Place
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6.77Rochester Institute of Technology-1.274.3%1st Place
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2.99Cornell University0.4626.9%1st Place
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5.19Rochester Institute of Technology-0.649.3%1st Place
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5.4Penn State University-0.708.2%1st Place
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9.19Syracuse University-2.561.1%1st Place
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5.52University of Pittsburgh-0.707.1%1st Place
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6.21Penn State University-1.055.7%1st Place
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7.58University of Rochester-1.622.9%1st Place
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9.64U. S. Military Academy-2.940.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Stewart | 16.9% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Maya Mills | 16.8% | 17.1% | 17.8% | 16.5% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Arocho | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 17.2% | 10.8% | 3.9% |
| Aidan Lane | 26.9% | 21.8% | 17.3% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Maguire | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Laura Jayne | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 30.1% | 33.5% |
| Olivia Kearns | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Chon In Chan | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 7.2% | 1.8% |
| Joseph Dapello | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 20.8% | 19.5% | 7.1% |
| Sophie Fernandez | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 20.5% | 51.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.