← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hamilton College0.01+2.81vs Predicted
-
2Unknown School0.16+1.66vs Predicted
-
3Rochester Institute of Technology-1.27+3.80vs Predicted
-
4University of Pittsburgh-0.70+1.47vs Predicted
-
5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64+0.29vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University0.46-3.00vs Predicted
-
7Syracuse University-2.56+2.15vs Predicted
-
8Penn State University-1.05-1.70vs Predicted
-
9Penn State University-0.70-3.59vs Predicted
-
10University of Rochester-1.62-2.57vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Military Academy-2.94-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.81Hamilton College0.0117.6%1st Place
-
3.66Unknown School0.1617.8%1st Place
-
6.8Rochester Institute of Technology-1.273.9%1st Place
-
5.47University of Pittsburgh-0.707.6%1st Place
-
5.29Rochester Institute of Technology-0.648.6%1st Place
-
3.0Cornell University0.4625.8%1st Place
-
9.15Syracuse University-2.561.4%1st Place
-
6.3Penn State University-1.055.2%1st Place
-
5.41Penn State University-0.708.3%1st Place
-
7.43University of Rochester-1.623.0%1st Place
-
9.68U. S. Military Academy-2.940.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Stewart | 17.6% | 16.8% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maya Mills | 17.8% | 16.8% | 17.2% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Arocho | 3.9% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 11.5% | 3.9% |
| Olivia Kearns | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Kayla Maguire | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Aidan Lane | 25.8% | 24.1% | 16.7% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Jayne | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 30.0% | 32.9% |
| Chon In Chan | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 2.7% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Dapello | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 20.6% | 16.9% | 6.8% |
| Sophie Fernandez | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 21.1% | 51.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.