Race 7B

sodus-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Michael Stewart 13.6% 13.4% 14.2% 14.1% 11.8% 12.7% 9.6% 6.8% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1%
Cole Bender 22.4% 20.2% 15.9% 14.6% 10.7% 8.0% 5.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Bryce Nill 8.8% 9.6% 11.1% 12.6% 12.4% 12.5% 12.2% 11.2% 7.0% 2.4% 0.4%
Margaret Arocho 3.6% 4.2% 3.9% 5.2% 7.4% 10.7% 12.6% 17.4% 20.4% 11.7% 2.8%
Maya Mills 14.1% 13.6% 16.5% 14.3% 14.1% 11.0% 9.1% 4.8% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Olivia Kearns 7.1% 7.7% 7.2% 8.6% 10.8% 12.3% 16.1% 12.8% 12.2% 4.2% 0.9%
Joseph Dapello 2.1% 2.5% 3.8% 4.6% 5.7% 6.6% 9.7% 16.2% 23.6% 20.3% 5.0%
Joseph Simpkins 6.2% 7.0% 8.2% 8.8% 12.2% 13.7% 14.8% 14.4% 10.3% 4.0% 0.4%
Laura Jayne 0.8% 1.1% 1.2% 1.7% 2.9% 3.2% 3.9% 8.6% 14.2% 37.5% 24.9%
Kayla Teuscher 0.6% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 1.2% 2.1% 3.5% 5.5% 18.6% 65.5%
Aidan Lane 20.8% 20.3% 17.2% 14.5% 10.9% 8.1% 4.9% 2.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.