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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology0.49+2.39vs Predicted
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2Cornell University0.46+1.31vs Predicted
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3Hamilton College0.01+1.24vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh-0.70+1.94vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-1.27+2.09vs Predicted
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6Penn State Behrend-0.45-0.79vs Predicted
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7Unknown School0.16-2.97vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-0.70-2.15vs Predicted
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9University of Rochester-1.62-1.47vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-2.56-0.82vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-3.45-0.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39Rochester Institute of Technology0.4921.2%1st Place
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3.31Cornell University0.4621.1%1st Place
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4.24Hamilton College0.0113.4%1st Place
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5.94University of Pittsburgh-0.705.9%1st Place
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7.09Rochester Institute of Technology-1.273.5%1st Place
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5.21Penn State Behrend-0.458.6%1st Place
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4.03Unknown School0.1615.6%1st Place
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5.85Penn State University-0.706.2%1st Place
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7.53University of Rochester-1.623.1%1st Place
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9.18Syracuse University-2.560.9%1st Place
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10.22U. S. Military Academy-3.450.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Bender | 21.2% | 19.8% | 16.4% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Lane | 21.1% | 20.0% | 17.5% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stewart | 13.4% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Kearns | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Margaret Arocho | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 18.6% | 20.5% | 12.9% | 2.1% |
| Bryce Nill | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Maya Mills | 15.6% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 10.9% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Joseph Dapello | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 25.0% | 18.4% | 4.8% |
| Laura Jayne | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 13.6% | 39.4% | 24.3% |
| Kayla Teuscher | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 17.3% | 67.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.