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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hamilton College0.01+2.91vs Predicted
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2Cornell University0.46+1.14vs Predicted
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3Unknown School0.16+0.81vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.64+1.24vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-0.70+0.54vs Predicted
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6Penn State Behrend-0.45-1.06vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-0.70-1.34vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-1.27-1.13vs Predicted
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9University of Rochester-1.62-1.49vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-2.56-0.81vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-3.45-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91Hamilton College0.0116.1%1st Place
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3.14Cornell University0.4625.2%1st Place
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3.81Unknown School0.1617.8%1st Place
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5.24Rochester Institute of Technology-0.648.8%1st Place
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5.54Penn State University-0.707.0%1st Place
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4.94Penn State Behrend-0.4510.0%1st Place
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5.66University of Pittsburgh-0.706.9%1st Place
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6.87Rochester Institute of Technology-1.273.7%1st Place
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7.51University of Rochester-1.622.5%1st Place
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9.19Syracuse University-2.561.3%1st Place
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10.18U. S. Military Academy-3.450.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Stewart | 16.1% | 15.3% | 17.3% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Lane | 25.2% | 21.4% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Maya Mills | 17.8% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kayla Maguire | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Bryce Nill | 10.0% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Kearns | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Margaret Arocho | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 19.7% | 11.2% | 2.8% |
| Joseph Dapello | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 14.9% | 22.7% | 18.2% | 5.1% |
| Laura Jayne | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 14.2% | 39.4% | 24.1% |
| Kayla Teuscher | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 17.9% | 66.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.