Race 10B

sodus-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Michael Stewart 15.4% 15.6% 16.0% 13.9% 13.6% 11.3% 6.9% 4.5% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Kayla Maguire 8.0% 8.3% 9.1% 11.7% 12.6% 13.1% 13.5% 12.4% 8.0% 3.0% 0.3%
Maya Mills 17.0% 17.2% 15.9% 14.7% 12.4% 9.9% 6.7% 3.5% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Aidan Lane 25.2% 21.1% 16.7% 12.7% 9.4% 7.4% 4.5% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Bryce Nill 10.3% 11.7% 11.7% 11.6% 13.4% 12.7% 11.0% 10.8% 4.7% 1.8% 0.4%
Olivia Kearns 8.4% 7.6% 10.3% 10.2% 10.3% 11.2% 13.8% 13.4% 10.9% 3.5% 0.4%
Margaret Arocho 4.6% 4.8% 5.4% 7.3% 8.3% 9.1% 11.6% 16.9% 17.5% 11.8% 2.8%
Joseph Dapello 2.4% 3.5% 3.9% 5.2% 5.5% 7.9% 9.0% 13.2% 23.8% 20.4% 5.2%
Laura Jayne 1.6% 1.7% 1.7% 2.1% 2.5% 2.9% 4.7% 7.2% 14.1% 37.8% 23.6%
Joseph Simpkins 6.4% 8.0% 9.0% 9.7% 10.5% 13.1% 15.9% 13.2% 10.1% 3.6% 0.5%
Kayla Teuscher 0.6% 0.4% 0.5% 0.9% 1.4% 1.4% 2.4% 2.9% 5.9% 17.0% 66.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.