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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.62+7.78vs Predicted
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2U. S. Military Academy2.05+4.99vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.86+4.86vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College0.60+8.21vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.09+1.53vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.84+1.83vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.92-1.84vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.42+0.66vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.05+1.39vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.48-4.85vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.20-1.02vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.85-7.34vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.41-0.33vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.46-4.28vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.82-7.11vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology0.73-4.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.78Fordham University1.624.2%1st Place
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6.99U. S. Military Academy2.057.4%1st Place
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7.86Brown University1.865.9%1st Place
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12.21Connecticut College0.601.4%1st Place
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6.53Roger Williams University2.098.6%1st Place
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7.83Roger Williams University1.846.3%1st Place
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5.16Yale University2.9212.8%1st Place
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8.66University of Rhode Island1.424.8%1st Place
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10.39University of Rhode Island1.053.2%1st Place
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5.15Harvard University2.4813.9%1st Place
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9.98Connecticut College1.203.1%1st Place
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4.66Yale University2.8515.7%1st Place
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12.67SUNY Maritime College0.411.4%1st Place
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9.72Salve Regina University0.463.8%1st Place
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7.89George Washington University1.825.9%1st Place
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11.53Florida Institute of Technology0.731.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Dolan | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| James Paul | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 16.7% | 24.7% |
| Oliver Stokke | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.8% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Olin Guck | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 9.4% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 13.9% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Skylor Sweet | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.3% |
| Stephan Baker | 15.7% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 16.9% | 28.7% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% |
| Tyler Wood | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Brendan Smucker | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.