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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.47+3.51vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.97+1.76vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.51-0.10vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.13-0.46vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.94+0.47vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.29-2.74vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.41-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.51Eckerd College2.470.1%1st Place
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3.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.970.1%1st Place
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2.9Boston College3.510.2%1st Place
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3.54Boston University3.130.2%1st Place
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5.47University of Wisconsin1.940.0%1st Place
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3.26Yale University3.290.2%1st Place
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4.57Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Baxter | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 17.9% | 19.0% | 19.0% |
| Sarah Yuskaitis | 13.8% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 16.8% | 15.1% | 13.6% | 8.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 23.6% | 23.6% | 19.8% | 14.8% | 10.6% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Brendan Cook | 17.8% | 14.9% | 16.9% | 19.1% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 5.6% |
| Mary Cummins | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 21.0% | 40.9% |
| Emily Billing | 20.8% | 19.3% | 18.1% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 5.0% |
| Sarah Fiske | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 16.9% | 21.1% | 19.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.