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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.62+7.72vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.85+2.72vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.09+3.71vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.86+3.79vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.48+0.05vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.92-1.12vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy2.05+0.10vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.82-0.16vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology0.73+2.29vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.46-0.26vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.20-0.95vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.41+0.66vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.84-5.23vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.42-5.18vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.05-4.44vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.60-3.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.72Fordham University1.625.3%1st Place
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4.72Yale University2.8514.0%1st Place
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6.71Roger Williams University2.098.0%1st Place
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7.79Brown University1.866.1%1st Place
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5.05Harvard University2.4814.0%1st Place
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4.88Yale University2.9214.8%1st Place
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7.1U. S. Military Academy2.057.2%1st Place
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7.84George Washington University1.826.4%1st Place
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11.29Florida Institute of Technology0.732.1%1st Place
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9.74Salve Regina University0.463.2%1st Place
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10.05Connecticut College1.202.9%1st Place
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12.66SUNY Maritime College0.411.2%1st Place
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7.77Roger Williams University1.846.6%1st Place
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8.82University of Rhode Island1.423.6%1st Place
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10.56University of Rhode Island1.053.1%1st Place
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12.28Connecticut College0.601.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Dolan | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Stephan Baker | 14.0% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 14.0% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 14.8% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Paul | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Wood | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Brendan Smucker | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 14.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 5.0% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 16.2% | 30.4% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Olin Guck | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 8.9% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 16.8% | 24.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.