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📊 Prediction Accuracy
6.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Military Academy2.05+6.17vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+3.07vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.85+1.48vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.84+3.88vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.82+2.87vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.62+2.59vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.46+2.72vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.05+2.52vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College0.41+3.58vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.48-4.84vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.86-3.28vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.42-3.36vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.09-6.21vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.20-3.92vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.60-2.61vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology0.73-4.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.17U. S. Military Academy2.057.0%1st Place
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5.07Yale University2.9213.4%1st Place
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4.48Yale University2.8516.9%1st Place
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7.88Roger Williams University1.845.1%1st Place
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7.87George Washington University1.825.7%1st Place
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8.59Fordham University1.625.0%1st Place
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9.72Salve Regina University0.463.5%1st Place
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10.52University of Rhode Island1.053.0%1st Place
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12.58SUNY Maritime College0.411.7%1st Place
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5.16Harvard University2.4812.7%1st Place
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7.72Brown University1.865.9%1st Place
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8.64University of Rhode Island1.424.5%1st Place
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6.79Roger Williams University2.098.6%1st Place
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10.08Connecticut College1.203.2%1st Place
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12.39Connecticut College0.601.2%1st Place
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11.34Florida Institute of Technology0.732.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Paul | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 13.4% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Stephan Baker | 16.9% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Tyler Wood | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Patrick Dolan | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.1% |
| Olin Guck | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 9.0% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 18.0% | 29.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Oliver Stokke | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Skylor Sweet | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 17.1% | 25.6% |
| Brendan Smucker | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.