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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.67+7.23vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.72+6.02vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+6.03vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin3.36+5.54vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.35+4.76vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+3.70vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.23+3.14vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+1.92vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University4.67-4.50vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.70-2.07vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.95-4.03vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.60-3.20vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.13+3.50vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.64-1.46vs Predicted
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15Washington College3.07-4.42vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.15-5.70vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.49-8.06vs Predicted
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18Princeton University0.09+0.28vs Predicted
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19Harvard University3.05-8.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.23Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.02Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.03St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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9.54University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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9.76Boston University3.350.0%1st Place
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9.7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.0%1st Place
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10.14Yale University3.230.0%1st Place
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9.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.0%1st Place
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4.5Georgetown University4.670.2%1st Place
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7.93Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.97College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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8.8SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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16.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.130.0%1st Place
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12.54Connecticut College2.640.0%1st Place
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10.58Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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10.3Roger Williams University3.150.0%1st Place
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8.94Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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18.28Princeton University0.090.0%1st Place
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10.32Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Rudolph | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Toole | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Matt Johnson | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Jacob La Dow | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Rob Struckett | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Elliott Morrill | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Evan Aras | 20.4% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ben Spector | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Harry Scott | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Baransky | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 9.4% | 44.9% | 21.6% |
| Timothy Clark | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 17.5% | 9.3% | 1.7% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Scott Houck | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Gross | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 15.4% | 73.6% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.