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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.09+5.63vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.84+5.99vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+1.93vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.82+3.70vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.48+0.16vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.42+2.73vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.85-2.39vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.86-0.24vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College0.41+3.67vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy2.05-2.89vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.62-2.31vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.60+0.30vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.46-3.24vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.20-4.03vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.05-4.45vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology0.73-4.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.63Roger Williams University2.098.4%1st Place
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7.99Roger Williams University1.845.2%1st Place
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4.93Yale University2.9214.6%1st Place
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7.7George Washington University1.826.2%1st Place
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5.16Harvard University2.4813.8%1st Place
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8.73University of Rhode Island1.424.2%1st Place
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4.61Yale University2.8515.4%1st Place
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7.76Brown University1.866.2%1st Place
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12.67SUNY Maritime College0.411.7%1st Place
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7.11U. S. Military Academy2.057.1%1st Place
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8.69Fordham University1.624.2%1st Place
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12.3Connecticut College0.601.8%1st Place
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9.76Salve Regina University0.463.9%1st Place
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9.97Connecticut College1.202.9%1st Place
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10.55University of Rhode Island1.052.6%1st Place
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11.43Florida Institute of Technology0.731.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Stokke | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 14.6% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 13.8% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Stephan Baker | 15.4% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 15.8% | 31.6% |
| James Paul | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 18.4% | 23.9% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% |
| Skylor Sweet | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% |
| Olin Guck | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% |
| Brendan Smucker | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.