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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+4.09vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.86+6.04vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.09+3.71vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.85+0.72vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.82+2.90vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.42+2.75vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy2.05+0.20vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.62+0.82vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.48-3.69vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.46-0.10vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.41+1.70vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.00-1.20vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.84-5.16vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology0.73-2.65vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.20-4.82vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.05-5.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09Yale University2.9213.5%1st Place
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8.04Brown University1.865.8%1st Place
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6.71Roger Williams University2.098.4%1st Place
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4.72Yale University2.8514.6%1st Place
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7.9George Washington University1.825.5%1st Place
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8.75University of Rhode Island1.424.5%1st Place
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7.2U. S. Military Academy2.057.0%1st Place
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8.82Fordham University1.624.7%1st Place
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5.31Harvard University2.4812.8%1st Place
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9.9Salve Regina University0.463.9%1st Place
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12.7SUNY Maritime College0.411.1%1st Place
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10.8Connecticut College1.002.5%1st Place
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7.84Roger Williams University1.846.2%1st Place
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11.35Florida Institute of Technology0.732.6%1st Place
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10.18Connecticut College1.203.5%1st Place
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10.68University of Rhode Island1.053.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 13.5% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Oliver Stokke | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Stephan Baker | 14.6% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| James Paul | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.3% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 6.3% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 14.9% | 34.3% |
| William Hurd | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 12.7% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Brendan Smucker | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 17.2% |
| Skylor Sweet | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 7.2% |
| Olin Guck | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.