Race 2A

greater-new-york-dinghy-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
John McGlynn 8.5% 12.3% 10.9% 11.3% 14.1% 10.7% 10.5% 8.0% 7.0% 2.9% 2.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3%
John Croll 4.5% 6.3% 7.7% 6.0% 8.3% 9.4% 11.1% 13.1% 10.8% 9.7% 6.6% 3.7% 2.1% 0.7%
Willem Sandberg 23.0% 17.5% 16.5% 14.8% 11.4% 8.8% 4.4% 2.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Colin MURPHY 19.0% 19.8% 16.4% 12.6% 12.4% 9.3% 5.4% 2.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Reynolds 3.7% 4.8% 5.7% 7.7% 8.3% 10.5% 11.4% 11.3% 10.9% 10.3% 8.6% 3.8% 2.0% 1.0%
Evan Voliakis 1.0% 1.2% 1.5% 2.1% 1.7% 3.2% 3.7% 4.1% 6.7% 9.3% 12.3% 17.3% 19.2% 16.7%
Scott Lubliner 6.8% 7.6% 8.0% 10.5% 8.9% 10.2% 12.1% 12.1% 8.6% 8.2% 3.6% 2.7% 0.4% 0.3%
Michael Rottier 4.7% 5.9% 6.5% 6.7% 7.4% 9.3% 11.1% 11.0% 9.5% 11.6% 7.5% 5.8% 2.2% 0.8%
Jack Pinnell 0.8% 0.9% 1.0% 1.2% 1.3% 1.3% 1.4% 3.4% 3.1% 4.8% 8.2% 12.0% 23.4% 37.2%
Adrija Navarro 1.1% 0.9% 1.5% 0.8% 1.5% 1.2% 3.1% 3.5% 6.2% 5.3% 11.0% 15.9% 20.7% 27.3%
Alex Gatto 1.9% 2.3% 2.1% 4.4% 4.0% 5.6% 8.1% 7.7% 10.1% 12.6% 13.5% 12.6% 9.4% 5.7%
Jakub Tyczynski 1.2% 2.1% 2.3% 3.3% 2.5% 4.7% 6.5% 8.0% 10.6% 11.1% 13.8% 13.9% 12.5% 7.5%
Andrew Murphy 2.4% 2.5% 3.8% 4.1% 5.3% 7.1% 6.7% 9.5% 12.3% 12.8% 12.2% 11.2% 7.6% 2.5%
Nate Jermain 21.4% 15.9% 16.1% 14.5% 12.9% 8.7% 4.5% 3.7% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.