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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.84+6.91vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+2.98vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.82+5.02vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.86+3.95vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.09+1.72vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.48-0.66vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.85-2.45vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.42+0.86vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.46+0.80vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.62-1.14vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy2.05-3.63vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.20-2.04vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.05-2.19vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.41-1.17vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.00-4.29vs Predicted
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16Florida Institute of Technology0.73-4.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.91Roger Williams University1.845.5%1st Place
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4.98Yale University2.9212.8%1st Place
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8.02George Washington University1.825.0%1st Place
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7.95Brown University1.865.8%1st Place
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6.72Roger Williams University2.098.1%1st Place
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5.34Harvard University2.4813.2%1st Place
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4.55Yale University2.8517.1%1st Place
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8.86University of Rhode Island1.424.9%1st Place
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9.8Salve Regina University0.463.4%1st Place
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8.86Fordham University1.624.6%1st Place
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7.37U. S. Military Academy2.057.4%1st Place
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9.96Connecticut College1.203.8%1st Place
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10.81University of Rhode Island1.052.4%1st Place
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12.83SUNY Maritime College0.410.9%1st Place
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10.71Connecticut College1.003.0%1st Place
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11.34Florida Institute of Technology0.732.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Mastovsky | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.8% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Oliver Stokke | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 13.2% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Stephan Baker | 17.1% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| James Paul | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Skylor Sweet | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.4% |
| Olin Guck | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.7% |
| Ben Hosford | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 34.3% |
| William Hurd | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 11.3% |
| Brendan Smucker | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.