Race 4A

greater-new-york-dinghy-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Willem Sandberg 23.2% 19.2% 17.1% 12.6% 10.2% 8.0% 3.9% 3.4% 1.7% 0.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nate Jermain 20.9% 18.2% 16.7% 14.9% 11.7% 7.8% 5.2% 2.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
John Croll 4.9% 5.4% 6.0% 8.2% 7.7% 8.1% 10.8% 12.3% 11.2% 9.6% 8.1% 5.7% 1.7% 0.3%
John McGlynn 7.4% 10.7% 12.5% 13.0% 11.3% 11.9% 11.0% 9.4% 5.8% 3.7% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Colin MURPHY 16.7% 19.4% 17.7% 13.4% 12.8% 7.7% 6.2% 3.7% 1.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Reynolds 4.7% 5.1% 5.8% 6.4% 9.6% 10.3% 11.9% 11.7% 8.6% 9.2% 8.6% 5.1% 2.9% 0.1%
Scott Lubliner 7.4% 6.8% 7.5% 9.3% 11.1% 11.3% 11.0% 9.8% 9.8% 7.8% 4.4% 2.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Jack Pinnell 1.0% 0.5% 0.9% 1.3% 1.9% 2.0% 2.0% 4.0% 4.2% 4.9% 5.7% 14.1% 19.6% 37.9%
Jakub Tyczynski 2.3% 2.1% 2.1% 2.2% 3.3% 4.9% 5.0% 6.6% 9.7% 13.5% 12.9% 15.8% 12.5% 7.1%
Adrija Navarro 1.0% 1.2% 0.8% 1.8% 1.2% 2.1% 2.1% 2.8% 5.4% 6.8% 10.6% 13.7% 23.3% 27.2%
Andrew Murphy 2.4% 2.2% 3.0% 4.0% 4.4% 7.3% 8.3% 9.0% 11.4% 11.9% 14.1% 9.3% 8.7% 4.0%
Evan Voliakis 1.1% 1.0% 1.7% 1.6% 2.5% 3.0% 4.3% 4.7% 7.0% 8.9% 13.2% 14.5% 18.4% 18.1%
Alex Gatto 2.7% 2.4% 2.7% 3.6% 4.6% 5.7% 6.3% 9.1% 11.3% 12.3% 11.4% 13.2% 10.0% 4.7%
Michael Rottier 4.3% 5.8% 5.5% 7.7% 7.7% 9.9% 12.0% 11.5% 11.3% 9.6% 7.4% 5.0% 1.9% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.