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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.85+3.49vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.48+3.05vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.86+4.61vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92+0.95vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.84+2.50vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.42+2.46vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.05+3.36vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.09-1.45vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy2.05-2.03vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.46-0.45vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.60+1.04vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.82-4.37vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.41-0.53vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.62-5.54vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology0.73-3.91vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.52-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.49Yale University2.8516.7%1st Place
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5.05Harvard University2.4812.7%1st Place
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7.61Brown University1.866.2%1st Place
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4.95Yale University2.9213.8%1st Place
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7.5Roger Williams University1.846.7%1st Place
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8.46University of Rhode Island1.425.2%1st Place
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10.36University of Rhode Island1.052.9%1st Place
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6.55Roger Williams University2.098.4%1st Place
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6.97U. S. Military Academy2.057.5%1st Place
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9.55Salve Regina University0.463.2%1st Place
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12.04Connecticut College0.600.8%1st Place
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7.63George Washington University1.826.4%1st Place
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12.47SUNY Maritime College0.411.1%1st Place
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8.46Fordham University1.624.5%1st Place
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11.09Florida Institute of Technology0.732.4%1st Place
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12.82Connecticut College0.521.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephan Baker | 16.7% | 16.3% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 12.7% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 13.8% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Olin Guck | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 7.3% |
| Oliver Stokke | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| James Paul | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 4.0% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 19.9% |
| Tyler Wood | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Ben Hosford | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 18.1% | 22.9% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Brendan Smucker | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 10.3% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 18.6% | 29.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.