Race 5A

greater-new-york-dinghy-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Willem Sandberg 21.5% 21.7% 16.0% 12.5% 10.9% 7.2% 5.3% 2.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Colin MURPHY 21.1% 20.1% 16.4% 13.5% 10.8% 8.8% 4.2% 2.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Scott Lubliner 6.6% 6.3% 8.7% 8.1% 10.5% 10.1% 11.1% 11.8% 9.9% 8.2% 4.5% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
Nate Jermain 17.5% 20.3% 15.9% 14.7% 10.6% 8.2% 7.2% 3.1% 1.3% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Reynolds 3.8% 4.7% 7.1% 7.9% 8.6% 9.5% 11.2% 11.7% 9.8% 9.5% 7.3% 5.7% 2.7% 0.5%
John McGlynn 9.2% 8.2% 11.2% 13.5% 13.1% 11.1% 10.0% 10.1% 5.9% 4.2% 2.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Andrew Murphy 3.2% 3.0% 3.9% 5.0% 5.4% 7.1% 7.2% 9.5% 10.4% 12.4% 13.3% 9.7% 7.8% 2.1%
Michael Rottier 4.5% 5.8% 6.7% 6.9% 7.9% 9.7% 10.0% 11.0% 10.8% 9.3% 8.1% 5.7% 3.2% 0.4%
John Croll 4.9% 4.1% 5.6% 6.5% 9.0% 11.4% 11.6% 11.2% 11.3% 9.2% 6.4% 5.7% 2.2% 0.9%
Adrija Navarro 1.2% 1.0% 1.1% 1.6% 1.0% 1.5% 2.4% 4.3% 4.8% 7.9% 9.7% 14.7% 20.4% 28.4%
Jakub Tyczynski 2.1% 1.8% 2.0% 2.5% 3.9% 5.0% 6.9% 6.2% 9.1% 11.1% 14.6% 14.2% 13.3% 7.3%
Alex Gatto 2.2% 1.4% 2.9% 4.0% 4.7% 5.7% 6.5% 7.9% 13.2% 11.9% 12.0% 13.0% 9.0% 5.6%
Evan Voliakis 1.9% 0.9% 1.5% 2.1% 2.3% 3.1% 3.9% 5.2% 7.4% 8.3% 11.9% 16.6% 18.8% 16.1%
Jack Pinnell 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 1.2% 1.3% 1.6% 2.5% 2.7% 3.7% 6.3% 8.4% 10.4% 21.4% 38.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.