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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.47+3.52vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.51+0.91vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.13+0.50vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.29-0.73vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.97-1.19vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.41-1.33vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.94-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52Eckerd College2.470.1%1st Place
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2.91Boston College3.510.3%1st Place
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3.5Boston University3.130.2%1st Place
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3.27Yale University3.290.2%1st Place
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3.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.970.1%1st Place
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4.67Bowdoin College2.410.1%1st Place
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5.31University of Wisconsin1.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amy Baxter | 10.6% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 20.3% | 19.1% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 25.8% | 22.4% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 10.5% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Brendan Cook | 17.1% | 16.4% | 18.6% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 10.6% | 5.2% |
| Emily Billing | 20.0% | 19.3% | 16.6% | 18.0% | 13.9% | 8.5% | 3.7% |
| Sarah Yuskaitis | 12.3% | 17.4% | 16.3% | 15.5% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 8.2% |
| Sarah Fiske | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 21.5% | 20.6% |
| Mary Cummins | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 19.2% | 40.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.