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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.85+3.56vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.09+4.73vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+1.97vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.42+4.71vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.84+2.83vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.82+1.85vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.48-1.91vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.05+2.28vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy2.05-2.10vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.86-2.48vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.46-1.54vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.41+0.63vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.00-2.39vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology0.73-2.82vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.52-2.13vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.62-7.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56Yale University2.8516.3%1st Place
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6.73Roger Williams University2.097.4%1st Place
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4.97Yale University2.9213.5%1st Place
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8.71University of Rhode Island1.424.7%1st Place
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7.83Roger Williams University1.845.7%1st Place
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7.85George Washington University1.825.8%1st Place
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5.09Harvard University2.4814.1%1st Place
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10.28University of Rhode Island1.052.9%1st Place
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6.9U. S. Military Academy2.058.7%1st Place
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7.52Brown University1.866.9%1st Place
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9.46Salve Regina University0.463.5%1st Place
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12.63SUNY Maritime College0.410.9%1st Place
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10.61Connecticut College1.002.7%1st Place
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11.18Florida Institute of Technology0.732.1%1st Place
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12.87Connecticut College0.521.4%1st Place
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8.82Fordham University1.623.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephan Baker | 16.3% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 13.5% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Drew Mastovsky | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Wood | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 14.1% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olin Guck | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 7.8% |
| James Paul | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Emil Tullberg | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% |
| Ben Hosford | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 19.7% | 27.3% |
| William Hurd | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 8.4% |
| Brendan Smucker | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 12.8% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 18.1% | 30.9% |
| Patrick Dolan | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.