Race 6A

greater-new-york-dinghy-regatta

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
John McGlynn 8.9% 11.3% 14.0% 11.8% 11.4% 11.2% 9.6% 7.5% 5.9% 4.5% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
John Croll 4.3% 7.0% 6.5% 8.6% 7.8% 8.5% 11.5% 11.3% 13.0% 6.8% 7.1% 4.8% 2.2% 0.6%
Nate Jermain 21.1% 18.8% 14.2% 13.7% 13.3% 8.0% 5.4% 3.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Alex Reynolds 4.2% 5.3% 6.3% 8.2% 8.6% 9.7% 12.2% 11.3% 11.2% 8.3% 7.4% 3.9% 2.7% 0.7%
Scott Lubliner 4.9% 6.2% 7.8% 9.2% 9.7% 11.7% 10.3% 12.7% 9.8% 7.9% 4.9% 2.7% 1.8% 0.4%
Willem Sandberg 21.0% 19.1% 17.5% 13.7% 10.8% 7.4% 5.6% 2.4% 1.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Pinnell 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 1.1% 1.6% 2.1% 2.8% 3.4% 5.0% 5.8% 7.2% 11.2% 19.0% 38.5%
Colin MURPHY 22.2% 17.7% 16.0% 14.2% 10.3% 8.0% 5.2% 3.5% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jakub Tyczynski 2.5% 1.5% 3.1% 1.9% 3.5% 5.1% 4.6% 7.2% 8.2% 13.0% 13.8% 13.7% 14.3% 7.6%
Michael Rottier 4.1% 4.5% 5.3% 6.4% 8.7% 9.6% 11.4% 12.3% 10.6% 9.4% 8.4% 5.5% 3.2% 0.6%
Alex Gatto 1.7% 3.0% 1.9% 3.2% 4.2% 6.7% 7.5% 7.4% 8.8% 13.3% 13.7% 12.7% 10.4% 5.5%
Evan Voliakis 0.6% 1.7% 1.3% 2.1% 2.0% 2.8% 3.9% 5.6% 7.0% 8.0% 12.4% 16.6% 19.5% 16.5%
Adrija Navarro 1.4% 0.8% 1.5% 1.0% 1.9% 2.2% 3.2% 4.3% 4.4% 6.2% 9.5% 16.9% 20.4% 26.3%
Andrew Murphy 2.5% 2.2% 3.8% 4.9% 6.2% 7.0% 6.8% 7.6% 10.9% 15.1% 12.9% 10.9% 6.0% 3.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.